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expected throughout the period. This is done using a dynamical seasonal prediction computer model of the global atmosphere-ocean system developed in the Met Office’s climate research division, the Hadley Centre. The seasonal prediction model is based on a Met Office Hadley Centre climate model

these features. 5.1.1 Method 1 (RA) This is the most basic method and is a simple 12-month running average. At each hour in the time-series calculate the 1-year average of the baseline mass mixing ratios centred on this hour (y mc ). This is the longterm trend component, subtracting this from the actual

previously. This paper is the third in a series of three reports from the Met Office Hadley Centre that address the recent pause in global warming and seek to answer the following questions. What have been the recent trends in other indicators of climate over this period; what are the potential drivers

. Other major centres of population include Peterborough, Norwich, Ipswich, Cambridge, Lincoln, Grimsby and Hull. Temperature The mean annual temperature over the region varies from around 9.5 °C to just over 10.5 °C. Variations in temperature depend on both altitude, with a decrease of about 0.5 °C

• EASCO to measure and characterize CMEs and CIRs Science Payload Instrument Measurement FOV SR TR Magnetic and Doppler Imager (MADI) Photosph. B, V Full disk 2” 90 min White-light Coronagraph (WCOR), HI Coronal images 2.5 – 215 Rs 1-2’ 10, 60 min Inner Coronal Imager at EUV (ICIE) Coronal images 0

if someone is already looking after them or if they would like you to ring them daily.  If you do go out for exercise or into your garden, try to avoid the hottest part of the day (11 am to 3 pm) and seek shade where possible. Avoid being in the sun for long stretches. Wear lightweight, light-coloured

affecting all parts at times throughout. The 29th was cloudy too, with light scattered showers through the day. After early patchy fog cleared central parts on the 30th, and an overnight minimum no lower than 14.0 °C at Milford Haven (Dyfed), it was generally sunny and warm, with Porthmadog (Gwynedd

photograph of the Earth’s atmosphere and surface. Objects that reflect most light, such as cloud, appear whiter than objects that reflect less light, such as land. Thicker clouds appear whiter than thinner clouds. The scale on the legend indicates albedo (or reflectivity) on a scale from 0 to 1

to determine road temperatures and temperatures inside buildings. 15 7 Visible Satellite What is this? Visible satellite images are essentially a black and white photograph of the Earth’s atmosphere and surface. Objects that reflect most light, such as cloud, appear whiter than objects that reflect

. It incorporates 15 simulations of the Met Office Hadley Centre model HadGEM3 (PPE-15) and 13 other climate models selected from the CMIP5 ensemble (CMIP5-13); • UKCP Regional (12km): are a set of 12 high resolution realisations at 12km covering the 21 st Century, downscaled from the PPE-15 over