Changeable or unsettled conditions are expected initially, with Atlantic weather systems bringing spells of rain and strong winds at times, interspersed with brighter, showery periods. Through late November, low pressure may become slower-moving to the west of the UK, potentially bringing more prolonged rainfall, particularly to southern and western areas, along with a continued risk of strong winds. Into December, confidence becomes low, but there is a possibility that low pressure tracks shift further south as high pressure builds to the north. This could bring further rain at times to central and southern areas, while northern parts become somewhat drier. Temperatures will probably be near or slightly above average in the south, with an increasing chance of colder conditions extending southwards from the north into December.