UK weather

Headline:

Turning drier for Monday.

This Evening and Tonight:

Rain will clear this evening, followed by a largely fine night with clear spells. Aside from a few sharp showers in western Scotland, conditions will remain dry. Turning chilly overnight.

Monday:

A chilly start on Monday morning, followed by a fine day with prolonged sunny spells. Further blustery showers in western Scotland, and a chance of evening rain in the southeast.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Turning warm and windy on Tuesday with coastal gales and heavy, blustery rain in the west. Rain clears by Wednesday and Thursday, with sunshine and showers following and brisk winds.

Initially, some outbreaks of rain may affect the UK, especially the north and west. These changeable conditions will probably give way to higher pressure and a more settled period of weather through the early part of the period. The speed at which high pressure builds, and whether it will be focussed across the north or south, remains finely balanced. This will lead to a drier than average period overall, with lighter winds than average. Some interludes of more unsettled weather and stronger winds are likely at times, but there are mixed signals as to where these are more probable. Temperatures are likely to remain warmer than average.

High pressure and more settled conditions early in the period may give way to a more changeable pattern towards mid-October. This will bring a greater chance of wet and windy conditions at times, but there will still be periods of drier and more settled weather. Temperatures are likely be above average for the period as a whole.