UK Climate Resilience Programme: Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)
Outputs from the Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) project within the UK Climate Resilience Programme.
UK socioeconomic scenarios for climate research and policy (UK-SSPs) overview
The UK-SSPs project within the UK Climate Resilience Programme produced a series of UK-specific socio-economic narratives and gridded data for a range of indicators to 2100. These were intended to help answer key questions about the UK's resilience to climate change. The SSPs are referred to in the Sixth Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (PDF document)
The infographic below, developed by Cambridge Econometrics, provides a visual overview of the project.
View the 'Exploring socioeconomic projections from the UK-SSP project' storymap to learn about the outputs of this project.
Learn more on the UK socioeconomic scenarios for climate research and policy (UK-SSPs) project website.
Factsheets and videos
Scenario factsheets containing detailed narrative and system diagrams for each of the five UK-SSPs can be viewed by clicking on the links below (PDF documents):
- UK-SSP1 : Sustainability
- UK-SSP2 : Middle of the Road
- UK-SSP3 : Regional Rivalry
- UK-SSP4 : Inequality
- UK-SSP5 : Fossil-fuelled Development
Watch video animations for each of the five scenarios:
'Co-creating Socio-Economic Scenarios to support UK climate resilience' presentation
Watch this presentation on 'Co-creating socio-economic scenarios to support future research and policy on UK climate risk and resilience' by Paula Harrison of the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology:
Publications
- Brown, C., Seo, B., Alexander, P., Burton, V., Chacón-Montalván, E.A., Dunford, R., Merkle, M., Harrison, P.A., Prestele, R., Robinson, E.L., Rounsevell, M., 2022. Agent-Based Modeling of Alternative Futures in the British Land Use System. Earth’s Future, Volume 10, Issue 11.
- Merkle, M., Dellaccio, O., Dunford, R., Harmáčková, Z.V., Harrison, P.A., Mercure, J-F., Pedde, S., Seo, B., Simsek, Y., Stenning, J., Rounsevell, M., 2023. Creating quantitative scenario projections for the UK shared socioeconomic pathways. Climate Risk Management, Volume 40, 100506.
- Merkle, M., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Seo, B., Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z.V.; Pedde, S. and Rounsevell, M., 2022. Downscaling population and urban land use for socio-economic scenarios in the UK. Regional Environmental Change. 22, 106
- Pedde, S., Harrison, P., Holman, I., et al. 2021. Enriching the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways to co-create consistent multi-sector scenarios for the UK. Science of the Total Environment, Volume 756, 143172
- Zuzana V. Harmáčková, Simona Pedde, James M. Bullock, Ornella Dellaccio, Jennifer Dicks, George Linney, Magnus Merkle, Mark D.A. Rounsevell, Jon Stenning, Paula A. Harrison, 2022. Improving regional applicability of the UK shared socioeconomic Pathways through iterative participatory co-design, Climate Risk Management, Volume 37, 2022, 100452