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Update to UKCP18 probabilistic projections: Maps of projected changes in surface temperature and precipitation G.R. Harris, J.M. Murphy, J.S.R. Pirret, D.M.H. Sexton Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, U.K. July 2022 1. Introduction The UKCP18 probabilistic projections consist of 3000 individual

Office Hadley Centre scientists worked with BBC journalists to develop a new interactive visualisation tool to show how climate change may impact the weather you see in your area in the coming decades. Bringing historical observations together with the latest climate projections helps to set future

Office Hadley Centre scientists worked with BBC journalists to develop a new interactive visualisation tool to show how climate change may impact the weather you see in your area in the coming decades. Bringing historical observations together with the latest climate projections helps to set future

scenarios. The process looks at the contributing weather factors such as weather type (e.g. Light Rain), temperature, humidity, etc. to determine the likelihood of icing as high, medium, or low. Currently VisualEyes only shows an amber or red alert icon to indicate a possible icing incident

, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We define the annual CO2 rise or annual increment for a particular year as the difference in annual average

Office Page 10 of 11 Figure 9. Observed (black) and forecast (dark blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2022, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations). Note

blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2024, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We

and report. Phil Evans gave an overview of the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme funding, and Professor Stephen Belcher (Director of the Met Office Hadley Centre) presented its work and structure. The Board noted the importance of Met Office Hadley Centre climate science/services as essential

that the vast majority of 1°C of warming reached so far can be attributed to human activity. The Met Office analysis looks at a 30-year average of observations and estimates centred on 2018. Combining observation since 2003 and projections up to 2032, the Met Office has been able to construct a basic

will help transition UK world-leading space weather scientific knowledge into operational use at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre (MOSWOC) leading to an improvement in space weather forecasts for a range of users. This new programme will benefit not just to UK infrastructure operators