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(MHD-only and DECC network) comparing InTEM (blue) and the GHGI submitted to the UNFCCC (orange). The InTEM uncertainty bars represent the 5 th and 95 th percentiles (light blue) and red bars uncertainty in the GHGI. 8 � Nitrous oxide (N 2 O): The UK GHGI and InTEM estimates are broadly in agreement

to assess benefits, and these were quantified and valued using value chain analysis. WISER Support to the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) Project (W2-SIP) [Regional project] Strengthening Weather and Climate Information Services in Uganda Enhancing Climate information

State of the UK Climate 2017: Supplementary report on Climate Extremes Met Office, National Climate Information Centre www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2018, Met Office Contents Contents

of SE and NW winds) reflects its situation on the Bristol Channel, aligned NE-SW. East or north east winds can also be strong if depressions pass along the English Channel. Spring time also tends to have a maximum of winds from the north east. Periods of very light or calm winds with no preferred

on. Leave a light on, so you know when the power cut has been fixed. Check to see if your neighbours are safe and if they have a power cut too. If they have power, your trip switch may have activated. Wrap up. If it's cold, wrap up warm and close internal doors to keep the heat in. Portable heaters

Likelihood Gales Severe chill effect Poor visibility High Likelihood High Likelihood Low Likelihood Thunderstorms Heavy persistent rain Strong sunlight No Likelihood No Likelihood No Likelihood Weather and chance of precipitation at 800m Time 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00 Cloudy Light snow Fog

in the coming days, and the broader meteorological context shaping the UK’s weather. A period of calm: High pressure dominates For several days, a large area of high pressure has been anchored over the UK. This has brought relatively settled weather, with light winds, persistent cloud, and only occasional

in the coming days, and the broader meteorological context shaping the UK’s weather. A period of calm: High pressure dominates For several days, a large area of high pressure has been anchored over the UK. This has brought relatively settled weather, with light winds, persistent cloud, and only occasional

these deficiencies into account, skilful predictions of extreme European winter decades are possible.  Lead author Dr Doug Smith, who heads decadal climate prediction research and development at the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: “The message from this study is double-edged: climate is much more predictable

The National Partnership for Ocean Prediction comprises the Met Office, Plymouth Marine Laboratory, the Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science and the National Oceanography Centre.

The partnership aims to: draw together world-class expertise from the UK's leading marine and oceanographic research centres; develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. These aims will be achieved