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with the baseline period to identify climate change trends. These were considered in the light of current exposure and vulnerabilities to identify potential future climate risks. North-west Africa and Mediterranean coast Desert regions of North Africa Turkey The Levant Arabian Peninsula Highland regions

............................................................................................................................ 42 ii Supported by: Fund Manager: Delivery Partners: Acronyms ACMAD African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development ACPC African Climate Policy Centre AfDB African Development Bank AMCOMET African

forecast Tropical cyclone advisory centre Co-ordinated Universal Time Volcanic ash advisory centre Volcano Observatory Notice to Aviation -iii- WAFC WAFS WIFS WG-MOG WMO WIFS Provider WIFS Provider State ZIP World Area Forecast Centre (London and Washington) World Area Forecast System WAFS internet

making, protecting the UK’s authoritative position in international negotiations. How is the Partnership different from other collaborations? The Met Office and NERC Centres have a long history of productive collaboration in numerical modelling. This new partnership will build on these strong

, clearing into the North Sea, but, unusually, this storm remained over the UK throughout 8th December, gradually weakening as the low pressure centred filled. Impacts Storm Barra caused significant weather impacts across Ireland, including widespread power outages, but the storm had weakened by the time

, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We define the annual CO2 rise or annual increment for a particular year as the difference in annual average

blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2024, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We

Office Page 10 of 11 Figure 9. Observed (black) and forecast (dark blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2022, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations). Note

scenarios. The process looks at the contributing weather factors such as weather type (e.g. Light Rain), temperature, humidity, etc. to determine the likelihood of icing as high, medium, or low. Currently VisualEyes only shows an amber or red alert icon to indicate a possible icing incident

Jonathan is a Research Fellow in climate change at the Met Office Hadley Centre.

and their contribution to sea-level change. Current activities Jonathan works 20% of his time as a Research Fellow of the Met Office Hadley Centre in Exeter and 80% as a senior scientist in the Climate Division of the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS-Climate), at the University of Reading, where he