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Subjective Verification Form (Form as of March 2015) 72 8 The Future of Forecasts  Figures Figure 1. IBF Stakeholder Mapping in Malawi (Malawi Red Cross/510 adapted for this guide by Climate Centre) 18 Figure 2. Schematic of the Interaction of the Physical Climate System, Exposure, and Vulnerability

these deficiencies into account, skilful predictions of extreme European winter decades are possible.  Lead author Dr Doug Smith, who heads decadal climate prediction research and development at the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: “The message from this study is double-edged: climate is much more predictable

The National Partnership for Ocean Prediction comprises the Met Office, Plymouth Marine Laboratory, the Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science and the National Oceanography Centre.

The partnership aims to: draw together world-class expertise from the UK's leading marine and oceanographic research centres; develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. These aims will be achieved

Office Page 10 of 11 Figure 9. Observed (black) and forecast (dark blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2022, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations). Note

blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2024, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We

(dark blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2024, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We

forecast Tropical cyclone advisory centre Co-ordinated Universal Time Volcanic ash advisory centre Volcano Observatory Notice to Aviation -iii- WAFC WAFS WIFS WG-MOG WMO WIFS Provider WIFS Provider State ZIP World Area Forecast Centre (London and Washington) World Area Forecast System WAFS internet

Seven Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) supported centres and the Met Office will work together as the new UK National Climate Science Partnership (UKNCSP) to respond to threats posed by a rapidly changing climate by putting climate science at the forefront of the solutions agenda

scenarios. The process looks at the contributing weather factors such as weather type (e.g. Light Rain), temperature, humidity, etc. to determine the likelihood of icing as high, medium, or low. Currently VisualEyes only shows an amber or red alert icon to indicate a possible icing incident

academic partners and the Indian Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES). It builds on existing partnerships between the Met Office and MoES institutes including the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting and India Meteorological Department. It also includes other MoES institutes