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State of the UK Climate 2017: Supplementary report on Climate Extremes Met Office, National Climate Information Centre www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2018, Met Office Contents Contents

will be much smaller than predicted. Others maintain that this is a temporary pause and that temperatures will again rise at rates seen previously. This paper is the second in a series of three reports from the Met Office Hadley Centre that address the recent pause in global warming and seek to answer

wet and windy with 58.2 mm at Buxton (Derbyshire) and gusts to 66 mph at the Needles (Isle of Wight), with a few thunderstorms over Cumbria but it was drier with sunshine in the south. A band of light rain persisted over the south-west on the 28th and 29th, clearing by the 30th, while otherwise

The 11th to 13th were mostly dry and cloudy, but the 12th had occasional light rain and drizzle and the 13th also had some rain and drizzle over the east coast during the a ernoon. It was also cloudy on the 14th with some rain and drizzle but turned drier and brighter by evening. Cloudy and wet

aspects considered included how it might related to triggering winter fuel payments, the increase in fire response call outs as more people light fires, the risk of household water pipes bursting and in the education setting transport issues can impact keeping the 1200 school estate open. KS spoke

for white light obs. – 60% - 75% instantaneous photospheric field coverage (improved boundary conditions for Heliospheric models, e.g, ENLIL, SWMF, etc). – In-situ measurements of CIRs BEFORE they hit Earth. L5 Workshop R. A. Howard (NRL) Concluding Remarks An L5 spacecraft is the optimum mission

Subjective Verification Form (Form as of March 2015) 72 8 The Future of Forecasts  Figures Figure 1. IBF Stakeholder Mapping in Malawi (Malawi Red Cross/510 adapted for this guide by Climate Centre) 18 Figure 2. Schematic of the Interaction of the Physical Climate System, Exposure, and Vulnerability

blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2024, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We

, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We define the annual CO2 rise or annual increment for a particular year as the difference in annual average

Office Page 10 of 11 Figure 9. Observed (black) and forecast (dark blue) annual average CO2 concentrations for 2016 to 2022, and re-forecast values based on emissions alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations). Note