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from a ‘system response’ view taking in the broader context as is the case with the Flood Forecasting Centre. The other action points noted were to take a systematic look at the continuum of warnings and impacts and for SD to arrange a finance deep dive for PAG group including Met Office and BEIS

alone, without the effects of ENSO (light blue). Thin black lines show the forecast uncertainty range (2 standard deviations).   Note: definitions of annual CO2 rise, increment and growth rate  We define the annual CO2 rise or annual increment for a particular year as the difference in annual average

making, protecting the UK’s authoritative position in international negotiations. How is the Partnership different from other collaborations? The Met Office and NERC Centres have a long history of productive collaboration in numerical modelling. This new partnership will build on these strong

, clearing into the North Sea, but, unusually, this storm remained over the UK throughout 8th December, gradually weakening as the low pressure centred filled. Impacts Storm Barra caused significant weather impacts across Ireland, including widespread power outages, but the storm had weakened by the time

: deficit case • Model convection is inhibited on places of light surface winds (small exchange coefficient c H ). Emergence of convection bias • Moisture budget shows a large convection increment in lower boundary layer (bl), which is balanced mainly by large bl increment , mainly surface fluxes

) were compared with the baseline period to identify climate change trends. These were considered in the light of current exposure and vulnerabilities to identify potential future climate risks. Key findings from the climate risk analysis by zone and by sector are shown on the poster overleaf

and Climate Research Programme (JWCRP). The JWCRP has seen some major changes recently with the inclusion of the NERC Centres (National Centre for Atmospheric Science, National Centre for Earth Observation, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Plymouth Marine Laboratory, National Oceanography Centre

Jonathan is a Research Fellow in climate change at the Met Office Hadley Centre.

and their contribution to sea-level change. Current activities Jonathan works 20% of his time as a Research Fellow of the Met Office Hadley Centre in Exeter and 80% as a senior scientist in the Climate Division of the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS-Climate), at the University of Reading, where he

(MHD-only and DECC network) comparing InTEM (blue) and the GHGI submitted to the UNFCCC (orange). The InTEM uncertainty bars represent the 5 th and 95 th percentiles (light blue) and red bars uncertainty in the GHGI. 8 � Nitrous oxide (N 2 O): The UK GHGI and InTEM estimates are broadly in agreement

Update to UKCP18 probabilistic projections: Maps of projected changes in surface temperature and precipitation G.R. Harris, J.M. Murphy, J.S.R. Pirret, D.M.H. Sexton Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, U.K. July 2022 1. Introduction The UKCP18 probabilistic projections consist of 3000 individual