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• paper3_implications_for_projections.pdf

  previously. This paper is the third in a series of three reports from the Met Office Hadley Centre that address the recent pause in global warming and seek to answer the following questions. What have been the recent trends in other indicators of climate over this period; what are the potential drivers

• session-1---our-climate.pdf

  to be added in the right amounts to make the perfect system. • The first ingredient is energy from our Sun. The Sun importantly provides heat and light for the Earth. Hold up small button or a small ball of Blu Tack (this represents the Earth). Tell the group that if the Earth is this big, how big do we

• Layout 1

  expected throughout the period. This is done using a dynamical seasonal prediction computer model of the global atmosphere-ocean system developed in the Met Office’s climate research division, the Hadley Centre. The seasonal prediction model is based on a Met Office Hadley Centre climate model

• CFC-11

  these features. 5.1.1 Method 1 (RA) This is the most basic method and is a simple 12-month running average. At each hour in the time-series calculate the 1-year average of the baseline mass mixing ratios centred on this hour (y mc ). This is the longterm trend component, subtracting this from the actual

• A changeable Easter weekend ahead

  , many parts will enjoy some  sunny spells, with light winds and temperatures around average. “Easter Sunday looks to be the widely drier day of the weekend. Cloud amounts will vary, but most places should see some bright or sunny spells at times. Parts of the far south and west may remain cloudier

• Met Office daily weather: Unsettled for many, with a mix of rain, showers, and brighter spells

  , with the odd isolated shower elsewhere. Later in the day, cloud and some patchy rain will spread into the far northwest, where it will also become windy. Elsewhere, winds will be mainly light to moderate, and temperatures will be around average for the time of year. Met Office presenter

• Met Office daily weather: Contrasting conditions across the UK

  mid-morning, spreading northeast through the day. Winds will be light at first but will widely become strong from the southwest, with gales, possibly severe, developing in many western coastal areas. After a cold start, with a widespread grass frost and local air frost, daytime temperatures

• Fine for many Christmas day, then unsettled – Dec'20

  should soon fade. Through the day cloud will increase from the northwest and could be thick enough for light rain or snow over higher ground in the north. Milder, more unsettled conditions will reach north-western parts of the UK before the end of the day. Boxing Day Saturday will see a return

• Biodiversity poster-New

  night-time pollinators and prey for bats and birds. Regular moth surveys using a light trap reveal which species are on site. Some species fly during the day, such as the six-spot burnet moth which can be present in their hundreds in the meadow. 2013 Improvements at frontline sites, such as bat boxes

• Is there a heatwave on the way?

  The start of the week will be fine and dry with sunny spells for many in England and Wales. However, a series of weak fronts will push into Scotland and Northern Ireland bringing cloudier weather here with a chance of some light rain, especially across the northwest. From Wednesday onwards while