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• 02427 South Asia climate infographic-v4

  . By the 2050s, all South Asia will become significantly wetter in the monsoon season (June to September), particularly in southern Pakistan and western India. By the 2050s, the eastern Himalayas, northern India, southern Nepal, and Bhutan will become drier in winter. In the high mountain areas of South

• scipsa_review_seasonal_forecasting_south_asia_final.pdf

  drivers of the South Asian climate are the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). These are irregular coupled atmosphere-ocean oscillations which drive variability in monsoon rainfall from year-to-year. In general, the warm (cool) phase of ENSO results in a drier (wetter

• scipsa_review_seasonal_forecasting_south_asia_finalpdf

  drivers of the South Asian climate are the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). These are irregular coupled atmosphere-ocean oscillations which drive variability in monsoon rainfall from year-to-year. In general, the warm (cool) phase of ENSO results in a drier (wetter

• trd---climate-risk-report-for-sea---v2-final.pdf

  surface temperature and sea level), precipitation, by a significant margin, exhibits the most uncertainty in respect to spatial climate trends across Southeast Asia. Projected changes for 2050 in rainfall over Southeast Asia vary, depending on model, sub-region, and season (high confidence

• trd---climate-risk-report-for-sea---v2-final-april-2026.pdf

  represents an individual model run, and therefore a plausible outcome. Shades of brown indicate drier-than-average years, while blue shows years that were wetter than average. Three model configurations are shown: CMIP5 (top), CMIP6 (middle) and CORDEX SE Asia (bottom). Grey squares represent areas

• regional_training_workshop_seasonal-predictions_report_final.pdf

  the forecast data into X (Predictor) and the number of wet days into Y (Predictand) and setup CPT to produce precipitation maps plots for ROC below- and abovenormal number of wet days greater than a daily rainfall threshold of 0 mm or 10 mm, and the probabilistic forecasts for season of choice (OND

• regional_training_workshop_seasonal-predictions_report_finalpdf

  the forecast data into X (Predictor) and the number of wet days into Y (Predictand) and setup CPT to produce precipitation maps plots for ROC below- and abovenormal number of wet days greater than a daily rainfall threshold of 0 mm or 10 mm, and the probabilistic forecasts for season of choice (OND

• Met Office explains: What are monsoons?

  on Earth, receiving nearly 12 metres of rain annually, compared to around one metre in the UK. Interestingly, in contrast to much of South Asia, it is the northeast monsoon, not the southwest, that brings the primary wet season to southeastern India (including Tamil Nadu) and northeastern Sri Lanka

• climate-risk-report-for-csa---v10-final-april-2026.pdf

  Asia region with some areas experiencing a wetting trend and others a drying trend. By the 2050s, all of South Asia will become significantly wetter in the monsoon season (June-September), particularly in southern Pakistan and western India. Eastern Himalayas, northern India, southern Nepal

• climate-risk-report-for-csa---v10-final.pdf

  contrasting precipitation trends across the South Asia region with some areas experiencing a wetting trend and others a drying trend. By the 2050s, all of South Asia will become significantly wetter in the monsoon season (June-September), particularly in southern Pakistan and western India. Eastern