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less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: August to May Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall August September October August September October Mauritania Warm Warm Normal ^ Wet Very Wet

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of rainfall over the tropical Pacific Ocean, that La Niña is associated with, leads to increases in rainfall across the tropical land areas. Over the next three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, southern and western Africa as well as northern South America are likely to be wetter than

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of South America, as well as the Caribbean, central and southern Europe and central parts of Asia are likely to be drier than normal. This is also true for southern Vietnam and parts of the Philippines. Meanwhile, wetter than normal conditions are more probable across much of Indonesia, Malaysia

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: Over the last three months, the dry season continued across the Middle East and southern Europe with little rainfall observed other than in the Western Highlands of Yemen, where it has been wet. Parts of Mauritania and Eritrea where the northern extent of the West Africa Monsoon has generated areas

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be the fifth consecutive poor or failed rainy season, further exacerbating the already severe humanitarian emergency in the region. Wetter than normal conditions are likely for much of southern Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: July to April

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://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts For the next three months, wetter than normal conditions are likely across much of south and southeast Asia, as well as Australia. Wetter than normal conditions are also likely for parts of southeast

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that the October-December (OND) rainy season could also fail.” The full statement can be seen here. A more active West Africa Monsoon has resulted in wet or very wet conditions in west Africa in the last three months, and parts of the Sahel during July and August. After a wet June, rainfall has been mixed

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/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts For the next three months, wetter than normal conditions are likely across much of south and southeast Asia, as well as Australia. Wetter than normal conditions are also likely for parts of southeast Africa, as well as central

Improving seasonal forecast services for resilience

          South Asia is a varied and complex region that is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Monsoons are a dominant feature of the season here, with the region typically experiencing a pre-monsoon, the Southwest summer monsoon, post-monsoon and the Northeast winter monsoon

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most of the US and Caribbean, the Middle East extending east across Central Asia towards Japan, as well as Malaysia/Indonesia and adjacent countries. Notable exceptions to this are northern parts of South America, which is accompanied by wetter than normal conditions (see slide 6). The Pacific

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