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be locally heavy with cumulonimbus cloud and thunderstorm activity. More organised rain or showers are likely to affect the far southwest later in the day. Winds will be light inland during the morning but will strengthen to moderate or fresh levels later, becoming strong along some coastal areas

Office, said: “Storm Alex has clipped the southern edge of Britain today bringing heavy rain and strong winds to the country. The highest gust of 71 mph was at Berry Head on the Devon coast, but winds are now easing for most. Away from the south it is a more pleasant day, with light winds and bright

these features. 5.1.1 Method 1 (RA) This is the most basic method and is a simple 12-month running average. At each hour in the time-series calculate the 1-year average of the baseline mass mixing ratios centred on this hour (y mc ). This is the longterm trend component, subtracting this from the actual

expected throughout the period. This is done using a dynamical seasonal prediction computer model of the global atmosphere-ocean system developed in the Met Office’s climate research division, the Hadley Centre. The seasonal prediction model is based on a Met Office Hadley Centre climate model

previously. This paper is the third in a series of three reports from the Met Office Hadley Centre that address the recent pause in global warming and seek to answer the following questions. What have been the recent trends in other indicators of climate over this period; what are the potential drivers

forecasters, advisors and specialist scientists on the interpretation and impact of the weather during an emergency. If required, Met Office experts are ready to attend or teleconference into tactical/strategic command and control centres. The Met Office’s Public Weather Service provides a range

, Marine synoptic, buoy observations, light vessels, hourly rainfall, national climate and radiosonde. Covering 24 hours and all WMO and MMS stations. Popular parameters include rainfall and temperature. FTP Alphanumeric, BUFR/IWXXM DPT Global Lightning Lightning strike location data (LEELA

, and improvements to the way mixing is represented in the boundary layer under certain cloud regimes has corrected a long-standing problem of unrealistic temperature profiles. In the tropics and sub-tropics, convection has more realistic structure and spurious light rain/drizzle is reduced

and eastern/central Scotland. Southeast of this boundary, it will remain very warm to hot and humid, with a small chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. Winds will be light to moderate. Tuesday night will be mostly dry with variable cloud. Central and southeastern England will start clear but may

the afternoon, but these will be fairly light and fairly well scattered. And there should be a bit more in the way of sunshine between those showers, particularly compared to what we saw on Sunday. “The sun's still strong at this time of year. This is where we do see that sunshine, it will be feeling