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-teens at best. Overnight, some areas could see frost where skies clear and winds are light, even relatively far south. Met Office presenter and meteorologist, Honor Criswick, said: “It is going to be an unsettled start to the weekend for many as this system once again slowly approaches southeastern

out. Winds will be fresh to strong in the far southeast, otherwise light to moderate. Temperatures will be near normal for most, though parts of the southeast may remain very warm and humid, with East Anglia likely to be the warmest region. Met Office presenter and meteorologist, Aidan McGivern

will still see some slow moving areas of thicker cloud and some light rain.   Met Office Expert Operational Meteorologist Adam Thornhill said, “It’s looking like an unsettled weekend will be the main theme for most, as an area of persistent rain and strong winds arrive into the far northwest

Kent, where they could be frequent and locally heavy. The Northern Isles may also see a few light showers, and it will be breezy in the far southeast. Temperatures will recover to near average for most, though Kent and Sussex may remain rather cool due to showers and a stronger breeze. Tuesday night

forecasters, advisors and specialist scientists on the interpretation and impact of the weather during an emergency. If required, Met Office experts are ready to attend or teleconference into tactical/strategic command and control centres. The Met Office’s Public Weather Service provides a range

expected throughout the period. This is done using a dynamical seasonal prediction computer model of the global atmosphere-ocean system developed in the Met Office’s climate research division, the Hadley Centre. The seasonal prediction model is based on a Met Office Hadley Centre climate model

these features. 5.1.1 Method 1 (RA) This is the most basic method and is a simple 12-month running average. At each hour in the time-series calculate the 1-year average of the baseline mass mixing ratios centred on this hour (y mc ). This is the longterm trend component, subtracting this from the actual

previously. This paper is the third in a series of three reports from the Met Office Hadley Centre that address the recent pause in global warming and seek to answer the following questions. What have been the recent trends in other indicators of climate over this period; what are the potential drivers

and west with isolated showers in the far north. The night of the 6th/7th was cold in some places with a minimum of 0.9 °C at Tulloch Bridge (Inverness-shire), followed by another warm dry sunny day for most. The 8th and 9th were generally cloudier, with isolated patches of light rain, but it remained

- this is the T+ n timestep • Forecast validity time - the time the forecast is valid for, calculated from the forecast reference time + forecast period • Severity value (1 = light, 2 = moderate, 3 = severe) • Vertical height as pressure levels • Polygon unique identifier (order in which polygons are generated