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Poor visibility Low Likelihood Medium Likelihood No Likelihood Thunderstorms Heavy persistent rain Strong sunlight No Likelihood No Likelihood No Likelihood Weather and chance of precipitation at 700m Time 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00 Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Light rain showers Cloudy Cloudy
will still see some slow moving areas of thicker cloud and some light rain. Met Office Expert Operational Meteorologist Adam Thornhill said, “It’s looking like an unsettled weekend will be the main theme for most, as an area of persistent rain and strong winds arrive into the far northwest
-teens at best. Overnight, some areas could see frost where skies clear and winds are light, even relatively far south. Met Office presenter and meteorologist, Honor Criswick, said: “It is going to be an unsettled start to the weekend for many as this system once again slowly approaches southeastern
out. Winds will be fresh to strong in the far southeast, otherwise light to moderate. Temperatures will be near normal for most, though parts of the southeast may remain very warm and humid, with East Anglia likely to be the warmest region. Met Office presenter and meteorologist, Aidan McGivern
cooler night compared to Wednesday. READ MORE: Deep dive: Storm Floris, tropical developments and a warming summer Outlook for Friday Friday will begin with early cloud and the possibility of light rain or drizzle in the far south, but this will soon clear to leave many central and southern areas dry
the far southwest, including Southwest Wales. Most regions will enjoy plenty of warm sunshine and light winds, especially in the west. Eastern areas will see more periods of low cloud, which will be most extensive overnight and may bring pockets of drizzle later in the period. However, sunny spells
Kent, where they could be frequent and locally heavy. The Northern Isles may also see a few light showers, and it will be breezy in the far southeast. Temperatures will recover to near average for most, though Kent and Sussex may remain rather cool due to showers and a stronger breeze. Tuesday night
to be added in the right amounts to make the perfect system. • The first ingredient is energy from our Sun. The Sun importantly provides heat and light for the Earth. Hold up small button or a small ball of Blu Tack (this represents the Earth). Tell the group that if the Earth is this big, how big do we
these features. 5.1.1 Method 1 (RA) This is the most basic method and is a simple 12-month running average. At each hour in the time-series calculate the 1-year average of the baseline mass mixing ratios centred on this hour (y mc ). This is the longterm trend component, subtracting this from the actual
expected throughout the period. This is done using a dynamical seasonal prediction computer model of the global atmosphere-ocean system developed in the Met Office’s climate research division, the Hadley Centre. The seasonal prediction model is based on a Met Office Hadley Centre climate model
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