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Met Office daily weather: The weekend brings a shift in conditions

for Saturday. READ MORE: 'Brutal' cold snap? 'Barrage of snow'? Met Office weather headline review “Generally, a fine day really for this time in October, but the cloud is starting to thicken further west and there could be a few light showers getting into maybe Devon and Cornwall and Northern Ireland

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What is the weather forecast over Christmas?

the influence of high pressure. The exception however may be northwest Scotland where there is a reasonable chance of further wind and rain. “Christmas Day itself is likely to be settled, often cloudy, and dry with light winds for the majority. Once again, the far north may be windier, with a small chance

Volcanic ash

Volcanic activity in Iceland

volcano will erupt in Iceland? The eruptions of Eyjafjallajökull and Grímsvötn in 2010 and 2011 respectively, are unlikely to be considered out of the ordinary in light of the historical record. It could be argued that up until recently, we have been fortunate: for example during the Grímsvötn

Met Office daily weather: Largely dry start to the week

the day across the country. We will see some isolated showers just feeding in from the northwest. One or two bubbling up across parts of England and Wales through the afternoon, but these will be fairly light and fairly well scattered. And there should be a bit more in the way of sunshine between those

Met Office weather: Warm sunshine for many, rain in the north

, but it is going to be weakening as it does so. So increasingly, that rain will be fairly light and patchy. There'll be some sunny spells developing up towards the north and west, with a scattering of showers and quite prolonged sunshine still holding on down towards the south and east. “It's here where

Met Office daily weather: A showery start but growing brighter later on

be locally heavy with cumulonimbus cloud and thunderstorm activity. More organised rain or showers are likely to affect the far southwest later in the day. Winds will be light inland during the morning but will strengthen to moderate or fresh levels later, becoming strong along some coastal areas

Relative operating characteristic (ROC)

yellow, orange and red respectively - and indicate regions with relatively good seasonal prediction skill. Regions with ROC score between 0.6 and 0.7 show skill at lower levels but still better than guessing or use of climatology. Grey or light blue shading is used when scores are below 0.6 (i.e. near or below to the 0.5 'no-skill' threshold, suggesting forecasts in these regions are currently little better than guesswork).

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