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. The southeast will start cloudier but should see steady improvement. Later in the afternoon and evening, cloud and outbreaks of rain, initially falling as hill snow in Scotland, will move into Scotland and Northern Ireland. Winds will remain light to moderate, and it will be widely cold. Met Office presenter

be locally heavy with cumulonimbus cloud and thunderstorm activity. More organised rain or showers are likely to affect the far southwest later in the day. Winds will be light inland during the morning but will strengthen to moderate or fresh levels later, becoming strong along some coastal areas

volcano will erupt in Iceland? The eruptions of Eyjafjallajökull and Grímsvötn in 2010 and 2011 respectively, are unlikely to be considered out of the ordinary in light of the historical record. It could be argued that up until recently, we have been fortunate: for example during the Grímsvötn

Office, said: “Storm Alex has clipped the southern edge of Britain today bringing heavy rain and strong winds to the country. The highest gust of 71 mph was at Berry Head on the Devon coast, but winds are now easing for most. Away from the south it is a more pleasant day, with light winds and bright

into the northwest later in the day. Further southeast, it will be a drier day overall, with sunny spells developing after a cloudy start. Winds will be mostly light in the south, but moderate to strong further north, with the potential for coastal gales in the far northwest. Temperatures will remain warm overnight

. Elsewhere, the majority will remain dry, though one or two light showers are possible, particularly over eastern England. The increased breeze may actually help to brighten things up in some areas, breaking up the cloud and allowing for occasional sunny spells. Temperatures and how it will feel

The start of the week will be fine and dry with sunny spells for many in England and Wales. However, a series of weak fronts will push into Scotland and Northern Ireland bringing cloudier weather here with a chance of some light rain, especially across the northwest.   It could be the hottest spell

for Saturday Saturday sees a pronounced north-south split. England, Wales, and possibly Northern Ireland will be overcast, wet, and dull, with heavier overnight rain easing but light rain and drizzle persisting. Early morning fog is likely in the far south, slowly lifting as winds pick up. There is a small

yellow, orange and red respectively - and indicate regions with relatively good seasonal prediction skill. Regions with ROC score between 0.6 and 0.7 show skill at lower levels but still better than guessing or use of climatology. Grey or light blue shading is used when scores are below 0.6 (i.e. near or below to the 0.5 'no-skill' threshold, suggesting forecasts in these regions are currently little better than guesswork).

and thunderstorms, particularly into the evening. Further areas of rain may also develop in the west later in the day. Temperatures will be around to slightly above average in the north, and very warm and humid in the south, with the southeast potentially turning hot. Winds will be mostly light