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, and all results are for RCP8.5. The orange dots and light blue dots represent the sets of GC3.05 and CMIP5 projections respectively. Two example models selected from the set of 28 global projections are shown in red and dark blue. From figure 2.14 of Lowe et al (2018). How to use joint probability plots

Meteorologist at the Met Office, said: “It’ll be quite a miserable end to the working week for southern and south-west England as Storm Alex brings heavy rain and strong winds tomorrow, with coastal gales of around 60-65mph for some.  “Away from the south it’ll be a more pleasant day, with light

thundery showers will follow, with the possibility of hail. Some sunny spells are expected, but showers may become organised into bands, resulting in more prolonged rainfall. Winds will be light to moderate in the north at first, freshening through the day. In the south, winds will be fresh

risk of isolated showers or thunderstorms across northern areas, mainly Scotland, during the morning. For most, it will be a fine, hot and sunny day with light winds. Cloud will build in the southeast later, bringing an increasing risk of showers and elevated thunderstorms, particularly overnight

is possible. Outlook for Saturday Saturday will be fairly cloudy, with light rain or showers in the far northwest, becoming increasingly windy with gales developing later. The southeast will remain mostly fine and rather mild, though there is a small chance of a few thunderstorms during the day

Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB, UK e-mail: [email protected] of the RCMs are often different than the driving GCMs and arguably more credible given the improved performance of the RCM. This also suggests that local climate forcing will be a significant driver

restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation

a dog in distress in a hot car, dial 999 and report it to the police. It’s always better to act quickly as heatstroke can develop rapidly and may be fatal without immediate intervention. Be Aware of Sunburn Risks Some pets, particularly those with light-coloured or fine fur, are prone to sunburn

’ presented forecast. Weather over past Coronations Data from the Met Office archive shows that past coronations back to Edward VII have been mixed when it comes to the weather. The Coronation of HM Queen Elizabeth II saw temperature highs of just 11.8°C on 2 June 1953 with some light rain through

is possible. Outlook for Saturday Saturday will be fairly cloudy, with light rain or showers in the far northwest, becoming increasingly windy with gales developing later. The southeast will remain mostly fine and rather mild, though there is a small chance of a few thunderstorms during the day