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, and all results are for RCP8.5. The orange dots and light blue dots represent the sets of GC3.05 and CMIP5 projections respectively. Two example models selected from the set of 28 global projections are shown in red and dark blue. From figure 2.14 of Lowe et al (2018). How to use joint probability plots

A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering

is likely to enjoy a mostly fine day with hazy sunshine. Winds will remain light, occasionally moderate to fresh along coasts. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest to rather warm, locally warm, in the southeast. READ MORE: How to stay safe and cool in the heat Met Office

, possibly with embedded thunderstorms, across some southwestern parts. These will gradually break up into showers, persisting for much of the day. Most other regions will see variable cloud and a scattering of mainly light showers, with the chance of a moderate shower near southern coasts. Cloud and patchy

and showers moving north and east through the day. Some of these showers will be heavy at times, particularly in southern and eastern areas. However, there will also be drier and brighter intervals, offering some respite from the wet weather. Winds will be light to moderate for most but could become

. Otherwise, it will be a fine day with light winds and a fair amount of sunshine in many areas, although freezing fog patches could persist in a few places.  How long the more settled, colder conditions will last is uncertain, with rain probably returning to westernmost areas at least by the end of the week

restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation

Centre Pune (IMD) i Strengthening Climate Information Partnerships South Asia (SCIPSA) Revision History Date Version Author Detail 20/04/22 0.1 Rebecca Parfitt Blank Template 21/04/22 1.0 Rebecca Parfitt Addition of example text, tables & figures. 02/05/22 2.0 Rebecca Parfitt Implementation of TJ

The next generation of the World Area Forecast System (WAFS) (Version 3, dated April 2022) Introduction This flyer describes the next generation of the World Area Forecast System (WAFS) forecasts for international air navigation, provided by the World Area Forecast Centres (WAFC), in support

-teens at best. Overnight, some areas could see frost where skies clear and winds are light, even relatively far south. Met Office presenter and meteorologist, Honor Criswick, said: “It is going to be an unsettled start to the weekend for many as this system once again slowly approaches southeastern