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Centre Pune (IMD) i Strengthening Climate Information Partnerships South Asia (SCIPSA) Revision History Date Version Author Detail 20/04/22 0.1 Rebecca Parfitt Blank Template 21/04/22 1.0 Rebecca Parfitt Addition of example text, tables & figures. 02/05/22 2.0 Rebecca Parfitt Implementation of TJ

, and all results are for RCP8.5. The orange dots and light blue dots represent the sets of GC3.05 and CMIP5 projections respectively. Two example models selected from the set of 28 global projections are shown in red and dark blue. From figure 2.14 of Lowe et al (2018). How to use joint probability plots

thundery showers will follow, with the possibility of hail. Some sunny spells are expected, but showers may become organised into bands, resulting in more prolonged rainfall. Winds will be light to moderate in the north at first, freshening through the day. In the south, winds will be fresh

risk of isolated showers or thunderstorms across northern areas, mainly Scotland, during the morning. For most, it will be a fine, hot and sunny day with light winds. Cloud will build in the southeast later, bringing an increasing risk of showers and elevated thunderstorms, particularly overnight

  making it feel several degrees colder than thermometers show. Even without the wind chill some locations will struggle to get above 0 °C by day, with night-time temperatures ranging down to - 8 °C quite widely. Monday will start with some light snow for the south east, including parts of London

NSWWS Warnings based on the VOT model forecasts. The VOT model uses minimum accident wind gust speeds defined as the wind gusts required to overturn unloaded and loaded HGVs (heavy good vehicles), unloaded LGVs (light goods vehicles) and cars. The hazard forecast probability for each vehicle type

low cloud throughout the day. Winds will be light to moderate for most, although a strong and gusty easterly breeze is forecast across southwestern areas. This may bring a fresher feel to parts of Devon and Cornwall, despite the sunshine. Temperatures will again be very warm or hot in the west

is likely to enjoy a mostly fine day with hazy sunshine. Winds will remain light, occasionally moderate to fresh along coasts. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest to rather warm, locally warm, in the southeast. READ MORE: How to stay safe and cool in the heat Met Office

A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering

will persist in the far north and east, with patchy outbreaks of rain. The far west and southwest may see heavier rain in places, which will slowly spread east and northeast through the day, fragmenting and becoming more showery as it does so. Winds will be light to moderate, with a small risk of stronger