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and showers moving north and east through the day. Some of these showers will be heavy at times, particularly in southern and eastern areas. However, there will also be drier and brighter intervals, offering some respite from the wet weather. Winds will be light to moderate for most but could become

, with cloud perhaps thick enough to bring patchy rain or drizzle. Winds will be light for most but will strengthen in the far northwest as the day progresses. High pressure’s back (briefly) 👀 - Warmer & more settled on Friday and Saturday ☀️ - Humidity climbs Saturday night💧 - Low pressure returns

NSWWS Warnings based on the VOT model forecasts. The VOT model uses minimum accident wind gust speeds defined as the wind gusts required to overturn unloaded and loaded HGVs (heavy good vehicles), unloaded LGVs (light goods vehicles) and cars. The hazard forecast probability for each vehicle type

, and all results are for RCP8.5. The orange dots and light blue dots represent the sets of GC3.05 and CMIP5 projections respectively. Two example models selected from the set of 28 global projections are shown in red and dark blue. From figure 2.14 of Lowe et al (2018). How to use joint probability plots

is likely to enjoy a mostly fine day with hazy sunshine. Winds will remain light, occasionally moderate to fresh along coasts. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest to rather warm, locally warm, in the southeast. READ MORE: How to stay safe and cool in the heat Met Office

risk of isolated showers or thunderstorms across northern areas, mainly Scotland, during the morning. For most, it will be a fine, hot and sunny day with light winds. Cloud will build in the southeast later, bringing an increasing risk of showers and elevated thunderstorms, particularly overnight

is possible. Outlook for Saturday Saturday will be fairly cloudy, with light rain or showers in the far northwest, becoming increasingly windy with gales developing later. The southeast will remain mostly fine and rather mild, though there is a small chance of a few thunderstorms during the day

A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering

A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering

, possibly with embedded thunderstorms, across some southwestern parts. These will gradually break up into showers, persisting for much of the day. Most other regions will see variable cloud and a scattering of mainly light showers, with the chance of a moderate shower near southern coasts. Cloud and patchy