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Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB, UK e-mail: [email protected] of the RCMs are often different than the driving GCMs and arguably more credible given the improved performance of the RCM. This also suggests that local climate forcing will be a significant driver
restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation
risk of isolated showers or thunderstorms across northern areas, mainly Scotland, during the morning. For most, it will be a fine, hot and sunny day with light winds. Cloud will build in the southeast later, bringing an increasing risk of showers and elevated thunderstorms, particularly overnight
thundery showers will follow, with the possibility of hail. Some sunny spells are expected, but showers may become organised into bands, resulting in more prolonged rainfall. Winds will be light to moderate in the north at first, freshening through the day. In the south, winds will be fresh
is likely to enjoy a mostly fine day with hazy sunshine. Winds will remain light, occasionally moderate to fresh along coasts. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest to rather warm, locally warm, in the southeast. READ MORE: How to stay safe and cool in the heat Met Office
of sunshine, particularly across Wales and the southwest. READ MORE: Met Office festival forecast: Cooler temperatures and risk of showers Warmer and drier for some by Friday Friday begins with cloud and patchy rain across western Scotland and Northern Ireland. This rain will be mostly light
making it feel several degrees colder than thermometers show. Even without the wind chill some locations will struggle to get above 0 °C by day, with night-time temperatures ranging down to - 8 °C quite widely. Monday will start with some light snow for the south east, including parts of London
difficulties. In 2022, the Trackplot team identified that environmental hazards and severe weather conditions were critical factors to monitor to keep outdoor workers safe, particularly in light of climate change impacts. Met Office predictions for 2070 compared to 1990 indicate that winters will be between 1
. Elsewhere, the night will be largely dry, though a few fog patches may develop in the south under clear skies and light winds. Temperatures in southern and south-western England could dip to mid-single figures in a few spots, making for a cooler night here. Outlook for Thursday Thursday
low cloud throughout the day. Winds will be light to moderate for most, although a strong and gusty easterly breeze is forecast across southwestern areas. This may bring a fresher feel to parts of Devon and Cornwall, despite the sunshine. Temperatures will again be very warm or hot in the west
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