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, and all results are for RCP8.5. The orange dots and light blue dots represent the sets of GC3.05 and CMIP5 projections respectively. Two example models selected from the set of 28 global projections are shown in red and dark blue. From figure 2.14 of Lowe et al (2018). How to use joint probability plots
A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering
will persist in the far north and east, with patchy outbreaks of rain. The far west and southwest may see heavier rain in places, which will slowly spread east and northeast through the day, fragmenting and becoming more showery as it does so. Winds will be light to moderate, with a small risk of stronger
is possible. Outlook for Saturday Saturday will be fairly cloudy, with light rain or showers in the far northwest, becoming increasingly windy with gales developing later. The southeast will remain mostly fine and rather mild, though there is a small chance of a few thunderstorms during the day
of sunshine, particularly across Wales and the southwest. READ MORE: Met Office festival forecast: Cooler temperatures and risk of showers Warmer and drier for some by Friday Friday begins with cloud and patchy rain across western Scotland and Northern Ireland. This rain will be mostly light
Meteorologist at the Met Office, said: “It’ll be quite a miserable end to the working week for southern and south-west England as Storm Alex brings heavy rain and strong winds tomorrow, with coastal gales of around 60-65mph for some. “Away from the south it’ll be a more pleasant day, with light
it will feel quite warm in the sunshine and light winds. Here's a look at the weather for the start of the new week ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/kIVjgpR63L — Met Office (@metoffice) October 19, 2025 The night will be rather cloudy, with further showers and some longer spells of rain in places, especially at first
A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering
, possibly with embedded thunderstorms, across some southwestern parts. These will gradually break up into showers, persisting for much of the day. Most other regions will see variable cloud and a scattering of mainly light showers, with the chance of a moderate shower near southern coasts. Cloud and patchy
thundery showers will follow, with the possibility of hail. Some sunny spells are expected, but showers may become organised into bands, resulting in more prolonged rainfall. Winds will be light to moderate in the north at first, freshening through the day. In the south, winds will be fresh
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