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preindustrial, and lowering the upper end of transition to high risk to 2.5ºC. Transition to very high risk was assessed in SR15 at lying above 5ºC in light of growing literature on ice sheet contributions to sea level rise. Updated assessment Met Office scientists contributed to the expert elicitation

. Number of total (dark blue) and landfalling (light blue) tropical cyclones each year in the Philippines region (Adapted from Cinco et al 2016). How has the project added to knowledge on future tropical cyclone risk? The Met Office and PAGASA have analysed a range of computer simulations and observations

scenarios. The process looks at the contributing weather factors such as weather type (e.g. Light Rain), temperature, humidity, etc. to determine the likelihood of icing as high, medium, or low. Currently VisualEyes only shows an amber or red alert icon to indicate a possible icing incident

A research activity in partnership with NERC Centres to build and evaluate a high resolution regional coupled prediction system for the UK.

social and economic prosperity. To address this need, the Met Office, NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, NERC National Oceanography Centre and Plymouth Marine Laboratory, working under the banner of JWCRP, have begun to develop the foundations of a coupled high resolution probabilistic forecast

Matt leads sea level and ocean heat content research at the Met Office Hadley Centre

level projections and understanding the role of ocean circulation and heat uptake processes in shaping climate variability and change.  This research is a mixture of underpinning research under the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme and commercial work done in partnership with Applied

Areas of expertise Aviation Meteorology   Current activities Andrew joined the Aviation Applications team in October 2022 and is currently working on the development of probabilistic forecasts of convection and icing hazards for the World Area Forecast Centre. Alongside his science role Andrew

could help communities achieve the UN’s sustainable development goals. Wider benefits of climate action Dr Bianca Van Bavel, Research Fellow in Climate Change and Health at the Priestley International Centre for Climate at Leeds who is leading the project, said: “Research in the field of climate science

of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) Dir: Prof. R.V. Nandujah National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting Dir: Dr. E.N. Rajagopal Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services Dir: Dr. S.S.C. Chenoi National Centre for Coastal Research Dir: Dr. M.V. Ramana Murthy National Centre for Polar

component of the initiative. Such projects are the OldWeather and Data Rescue at Home citizen science projects, the Sailsproject (Shipping Archives and Integrated Logbooks of Ships) and, with the Centre for e-Research, King's College London, looking at historic sources for weather in order

. Modelling Model Institution Centre BCC BCC-CSM1-1 Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological BCC-CSM1-1 Administration CSIRO-BOM ACCESS1-0 CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial ACCESS1-3-m Research Organisation, Australia), and BOM (Bureau of Meteorology, Australia) CCCma CanESM2