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restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation

Meteorologist at the Met Office, said: “It’ll be quite a miserable end to the working week for southern and south-west England as Storm Alex brings heavy rain and strong winds tomorrow, with coastal gales of around 60-65mph for some.  “Away from the south it’ll be a more pleasant day, with light

. Elsewhere, the night will be largely dry, though a few fog patches may develop in the south under clear skies and light winds. Temperatures in southern and south-western England could dip to mid-single figures in a few spots, making for a cooler night here. Outlook for Thursday Thursday

, with cloud perhaps thick enough to bring patchy rain or drizzle. Winds will be light for most but will strengthen in the far northwest as the day progresses. High pressure’s back (briefly) 👀 - Warmer & more settled on Friday and Saturday ☀️ - Humidity climbs Saturday night💧 - Low pressure returns

difficulties. In 2022, the Trackplot team identified that environmental hazards and severe weather conditions were critical factors to monitor to keep outdoor workers safe, particularly in light of climate change impacts. Met Office predictions for 2070 compared to 1990 indicate that winters will be between 1

NSWWS Warnings based on the VOT model forecasts. The VOT model uses minimum accident wind gust speeds defined as the wind gusts required to overturn unloaded and loaded HGVs (heavy good vehicles), unloaded LGVs (light goods vehicles) and cars. The hazard forecast probability for each vehicle type

. Otherwise, it will be a fine day with light winds and a fair amount of sunshine in many areas, although freezing fog patches could persist in a few places.  How long the more settled, colder conditions will last is uncertain, with rain probably returning to westernmost areas at least by the end of the week

, and all results are for RCP8.5. The orange dots and light blue dots represent the sets of GC3.05 and CMIP5 projections respectively. Two example models selected from the set of 28 global projections are shown in red and dark blue. From figure 2.14 of Lowe et al (2018). How to use joint probability plots

low cloud throughout the day. Winds will be light to moderate for most, although a strong and gusty easterly breeze is forecast across southwestern areas. This may bring a fresher feel to parts of Devon and Cornwall, despite the sunshine. Temperatures will again be very warm or hot in the west

and showers moving north and east through the day. Some of these showers will be heavy at times, particularly in southern and eastern areas. However, there will also be drier and brighter intervals, offering some respite from the wet weather. Winds will be light to moderate for most but could become