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Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB, UK e-mail: [email protected] of the RCMs are often different than the driving GCMs and arguably more credible given the improved performance of the RCM. This also suggests that local climate forcing will be a significant driver

restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation

difficulties. In 2022, the Trackplot team identified that environmental hazards and severe weather conditions were critical factors to monitor to keep outdoor workers safe, particularly in light of climate change impacts. Met Office predictions for 2070 compared to 1990 indicate that winters will be between 1

low cloud throughout the day. Winds will be light to moderate for most, although a strong and gusty easterly breeze is forecast across southwestern areas. This may bring a fresher feel to parts of Devon and Cornwall, despite the sunshine. Temperatures will again be very warm or hot in the west

. Elsewhere, the night will be largely dry, though a few fog patches may develop in the south under clear skies and light winds. Temperatures in southern and south-western England could dip to mid-single figures in a few spots, making for a cooler night here. Outlook for Thursday Thursday

  making it feel several degrees colder than thermometers show. Even without the wind chill some locations will struggle to get above 0 °C by day, with night-time temperatures ranging down to - 8 °C quite widely. Monday will start with some light snow for the south east, including parts of London

NSWWS Warnings based on the VOT model forecasts. The VOT model uses minimum accident wind gust speeds defined as the wind gusts required to overturn unloaded and loaded HGVs (heavy good vehicles), unloaded LGVs (light goods vehicles) and cars. The hazard forecast probability for each vehicle type

of sunshine, particularly across Wales and the southwest. READ MORE: Met Office festival forecast: Cooler temperatures and risk of showers Warmer and drier for some by Friday Friday begins with cloud and patchy rain across western Scotland and Northern Ireland. This rain will be mostly light

, with cloud perhaps thick enough to bring patchy rain or drizzle. Winds will be light for most but will strengthen in the far northwest as the day progresses. High pressure’s back (briefly) 👀 - Warmer & more settled on Friday and Saturday ☀️ - Humidity climbs Saturday night💧 - Low pressure returns

Meteorologist at the Met Office, said: “It’ll be quite a miserable end to the working week for southern and south-west England as Storm Alex brings heavy rain and strong winds tomorrow, with coastal gales of around 60-65mph for some.  “Away from the south it’ll be a more pleasant day, with light