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  • Briefing on Arctic and Antarctic sea ice - July 2026

    above sea level and shows the position of warm/cool airmasses more clearly than the surface temperature, which responds strongly to the sea ice cover itself. Outlook for September At this stage in the melt season the September Arctic sea ice extent remains very uncertain, as melting for the rest

  • How pressure drives the UK's journey from summer to autumn

    in the wider atmospheric pattern. Meteorological autumn begins on 1 September, while astronomical autumn normally begins around 22 or 23 September. Autumn is often associated with falling temperatures, shorter days and an increasing chance of unsettled or stormy conditions as the season progresses

  • How changing weather patterns are affecting UK wildlife

    , shifting rainfall patterns, and rising sea levels are affecting species and ecosystems across the UK. Impacts on species behaviour One area of focus has been the impact of changing weather on species behaviour. For example, in Northern Ireland, warmer and wetter conditions are influencing barn owl

  • “30°C surge?” “Brutal chill?”: Weather headline review

    a good part of the UK is likely to remain dry. Settled conditions may continue for many into the latter part of September, although northern and northwestern areas are likely to remain more exposed to Atlantic weather systems. READ MORE: Do changing seasons affect the jet stream? Are 34 parts

  • Deep dive: From mountain waves to mammatus

    . If the atmosphere is sufficiently unstable, these clouds can grow into towering cumulus and eventually cumulonimbus, extending towards the top of the troposphere. READ MORE: Do changing seasons affect the jet stream? When the rising cloud reaches the top of the troposphere, it encounters the more stable air

  • ukcp18-factsheet-local-2.2km.pdf

    changes to our weather for extreme events at local and hourly scales. For example, for rainfall: In the RCM: In the CPM: it rains much more frequently, leading to an excessive occurrence of wet days it does not rain as frequently, in better agreement with observations, although when it does, it does so

  • ukcp-probabilistic-extremes-report-september-2020pdf

    and Schär, 2017), cold, hot, dry or wet seasonal extremes (e.g. Sexton and Harris, 2015) or multi-season droughts (e.g. Burke and Brown, 2010), can also be obtained. In UKCP, users can obtain projections of future extremes for the UK or other regions from UK Global (a set of 28 climate model simulations

  • ukcp-probabilistic-extremes-report-september-2020.pdf

    and Schär, 2017), cold, hot, dry or wet seasonal extremes (e.g. Sexton and Harris, 2015) or multi-season droughts (e.g. Burke and Brown, 2010), can also be obtained. In UKCP, users can obtain projections of future extremes for the UK or other regions from UK Global (a set of 28 climate model simulations

  • dfid-philippines-wp2-assessing-current-understanding-of-climate-risks-26-10-2015pdf

    ............................................................................................................................................. 82 3 ACRONYMS ADB ADP AusAid BAS BSWM CLUP SCO CSCAND DA DFAT DENR DepEd DFID DILG DOE DOH DPWH DRA DRM DRR ENSO ESSC FA FFWS GFDRR GIS GOP GPS Asian Development Bank Asian Disaster Preparedness Center Australia Agency for International Development Bureau of Agricultural Statistics

  • Rain to reign as low-pressure dominates the forecast

    The seasons are changing and so is the weather, with wind and rain for much of the UK in the coming days.

    and for anyone looking for rain in the forecast there is good news. High pressure - which we have become quite accustomed to over the summer - will stay with us for a little longer, but by the weekend conditions will be changing as low-pressure will take the lead for several days, bringing wet and windy

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