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extent lower than every year before 2007. Each year, scientific centres around the world submit predictions of September Arctic sea ice extent to the Sea Ice Outlook (SIO), a series of reports published in June, July and August by the Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN). The second report of the summer

restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation

Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB, UK e-mail: [email protected] of the RCMs are often different than the driving GCMs and arguably more credible given the improved performance of the RCM. This also suggests that local climate forcing will be a significant driver

The intensive testbed with its main hub in Zambia and centres in Mozambique and South Africa, hit the ground running on 30 January 2025.

and nowcasts – sent every two hours. The morning’s forecasts predicted some heavy rainfall for Kanyama. While the team at ZMD experienced two brief but heavy showers during the morning, the Kanyama community observers reported that they experienced only light rain. This led to a discussion about how

The start of the week will be fine and dry with sunny spells for many in England and Wales. However, a series of weak fronts will push into Scotland and Northern Ireland bringing cloudier weather here with a chance of some light rain, especially across the northwest. From Wednesday onwards while

should soon fade. Through the day cloud will increase from the northwest and could be thick enough for light rain or snow over higher ground in the north. Milder, more unsettled conditions will reach north-western parts of the UK before the end of the day. Boxing Day Saturday will see a return

throughout the day will be around average or slightly higher than average in places, although cooler in the Southeast with the focus of higher temperatures further North and West.   Wednesday evening will see those showers mostly dying out with some light rain and drizzle affecting Northeastern

. Winds will be light to moderate for most, although a strong and gusty easterly breeze is forecast across southwestern areas. This may bring a fresher feel to parts of Devon and Cornwall, despite the sunshine. Temperatures will again be very warm or hot in the west, with highs around 30°C expected

intervals, although the far north may see more cloud cover and isolated showers. There is a risk of low cloud and fog along some southern and eastern coasts, which could affect visibility and create a cooler, damp environment in these areas. Winds will be light to moderate, but fresh along

temperatures, though it may feel rather cool along windward coasts. Winds will be light to moderate, with locally fresh breezes along eastern shores. Met Office presenter and meteorologist, Alex Deakin, said: “Low cloud will seep inland for Thursday morning. It may take a while before it moves back