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  • ukcp-probabilistic-extremes-report-september-2020pdf

    and Schär, 2017), cold, hot, dry or wet seasonal extremes (e.g. Sexton and Harris, 2015) or multi-season droughts (e.g. Burke and Brown, 2010), can also be obtained. In UKCP, users can obtain projections of future extremes for the UK or other regions from UK Global (a set of 28 climate model simulations

  • ukcp-probabilistic-extremes-report-september-2020.pdf

    and Schär, 2017), cold, hot, dry or wet seasonal extremes (e.g. Sexton and Harris, 2015) or multi-season droughts (e.g. Burke and Brown, 2010), can also be obtained. In UKCP, users can obtain projections of future extremes for the UK or other regions from UK Global (a set of 28 climate model simulations

  • NCIC Monthly Summary

    during the last week of the month was the weather truly unsettled, a period which included the first named storm of the season. The mean temperature was provisionally 0.5 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term average, with the north being rather milder but the south-east being near or just below average

  • April extremes: a closer look at April’s current weather records

    interactive graph below. Rainfall extremes: intense downpours and very wet days April can be a showery month, but it can also produce prolonged or intense rainfall events. The UK’s highest April daily rainfall total is 181.6mm at Seathwaite (Cumbria) on 22 April 1970. Scotland’s highest April daily rainfall

  • Microsoft Word - 2025_02_storm_eowyn.docx

    Storm Éowyn, 24 January 2025 Storm Éowyn, the fifth storm of the 2024/2025 season so far, hit the UK in late January. Northern Ireland and Scotland’s Central Belt experienced the brunt of this storm with winds gusting widely at well over 70Kt (81mph), and in places over 80Kt (92mph). The highest

  • Met Office week ahead weather: UK weather signals the arrival of autumn

    in the upper teens and possibly low twenties in the east before the showery rain arrives. It may feel cooler, especially as breezes pick up along the south coast at times. Midweek: wet and windy for many Wednesday marks the return to school for many, and it could be a very soggy start to the term

  • How pressure drives the UK's journey from summer to autumn

    in the wider atmospheric pattern. Meteorological autumn begins on 1 September, while astronomical autumn normally begins around 22 or 23 September. Autumn is often associated with falling temperatures, shorter days and an increasing chance of unsettled or stormy conditions as the season progresses

  • Briefing on Arctic and Antarctic sea ice - July 2026

    above sea level and shows the position of warm/cool airmasses more clearly than the surface temperature, which responds strongly to the sea ice cover itself. Outlook for September At this stage in the melt season the September Arctic sea ice extent remains very uncertain, as melting for the rest

  • How changing weather patterns are affecting UK wildlife

    , shifting rainfall patterns, and rising sea levels are affecting species and ecosystems across the UK. Impacts on species behaviour One area of focus has been the impact of changing weather on species behaviour. For example, in Northern Ireland, warmer and wetter conditions are influencing barn owl

  • Seamless decision-making for climate adaptation

    and to food supply. Decisions on a range of timescales We don’t just care about the weather tomorrow, but we care about the weather next season, and the weather further into the future. We know climate change will bring hotter drier summers, and warmer wetter winters, and more extreme summer hot dry days

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