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  • Festival forecast: Changeable weather on the way

    : Met Office Mon 24 Aug 2026 Festival season continues across the UK this week, but the weather is set to become increasingly unsettled as low pressure moves in from the south-west. While temperatures will remain a little above average and conditions become more humid, there is also a growing

  • An ‘unprecedented’ El Niño and its implications for the weather forecast

    South America (see figure below). El Niño also affects tropical cyclones and suppresses Atlantic hurricanes by increasing wind shear in the tropical Atlantic. Consistent with this, there have only been three storms so far this season, but it only takes one large hurricane to lead to devastating

  • Weekend weather: Blustery showers before a quieter Sunday

    Author: Met Office Thu 8 Oct 2026 The UK has experienced a mixture of seasons this week, with conditions ranging from warm and summery to distinctly autumnal. This weekend may even bring a brief hint of winter across some northern hills, as colder air, brisk winds and lively showers move across

  • Why has it been so warm and humid recently?

    . That warmth has continued into July, with mean temperatures placing this summer so far in the top 5% of all summers on record. Night-time temperatures have been especially notable, exceeding previous records for this stage of the season. By the end of the recent hot spell, temperatures of 30°C or more had

  • Process-based assessment of an ensemble of climate projections for West Africa

    is not sufficient to assess model projections. Direct investigation of the mechanisms for future precipitation change is also important, and existing efforts in this area have generated valuable hypothesis about the potential drivers of wet and dry responses [e.g., Biasutti et al., 2008, 2009; Monerie et al

  • barometer-issue-35.pdf

    the infamous snowy / windy / cold / sunny winter of 2016-17? I just hoped it wouldn’t be another wet winter. Winter 2015-16 was the second wettest on record; 2013-14 was the wettest in a series extending back to 1910. Those seasons were dominated by a powerful jet stream over the Atlantic, spawning

  • Weekend weather forecast: Colder, breezier and showery for many

    to be the coldest pair of days so far this season, not unusual for the time of year but a clear step change nonetheless. Expect a chilly start on Saturday, with some spots down in the mid to low single figures, and a cold feel in the wind throughout the day. Saturday: Bracing northerlies, sunshine and showers

  • Understanding the Foehn effect and its impacts

    recorded in the United States. READ MORE: What role does convection play in weather? In the UK, foehn events are most commonly observed in the Scottish Highlands. Moist westerly winds from the Atlantic are forced over the mountains, bringing wet weather to the west while the east enjoys warmer

  • Week ahead: Wind, rain and a marked change in temperature

    sunshine, with temperatures reaching 18 to 20°C. A north-south contrast on Thursday The band of rain will move slowly southwards through Wednesday night and Thursday. Northern Ireland and northern England can expect wet weather during the morning, with some heavier downpours possible. Showers will follow

  • Met Office weekend weather: Storm Amy brings unsettled conditions

    conditions Author: Press Office Fri 3 Oct 2025 As we head into the first weekend of October, all eyes are on Storm Amy, the first named storm of the 2025-2026 season. The Met Office is closely monitoring this developing system, which is set to bring a spell of very unsettled weather, particularly

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