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at times. Winds will be fresh to strong in the north and northwest early on, easing through the morning. Elsewhere, winds will remain light to moderate. Into the night, strong winds will return to the northwest, with a risk of coastal gales. Temperatures will be around or slightly above average

PWSCG (36) Meeting 10:30 – 16:00 Wednesday 27 th April 2016 BIS Conference Centre, 1 Victoria Street Minutes Wyn Williams (WW) Denise Harker (DH) Mike Gray (MG) Paul Riches (PR) Sarah Jackson (SJ) Alessia Morris (AM) John Irvine (JI) Colin Hord (CH) Nathan Travis (NT) Ben Fletcher (BF) Andy

in the first two weeks roughly 2°C below average. The cool start to the month was due to northerly and northwesterly winds bringing cold Arctic air across the UK. A low pressure centre developed over Scandinavia in the second week of June, pushing further cold air from the north across the UK. Frontal

restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation

extent lower than every year before 2007. Each year, scientific centres around the world submit predictions of September Arctic sea ice extent to the Sea Ice Outlook (SIO), a series of reports published in June, July and August by the Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN). The second report of the summer

totals are based on the average value across each county. Lead author and Met Office climate scientist, Mike Kendon, said: “Our new analysis of these observations really shines a light on the fastest changing aspects of our weather as a consequence of climate change. Long term averages can be difficult

on the ground, mounted on an aircraft or satellite-based, and can be used to observe the location and vertical profile of aerosols such as volcanic ash. A lidar measures backscattered light from atmospheric targets e.g. aerosols including volcanic ash and Saharan dust, water droplets and ice crystals, using

Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB, UK e-mail: [email protected] of the RCMs are often different than the driving GCMs and arguably more credible given the improved performance of the RCM. This also suggests that local climate forcing will be a significant driver

this could end up being much more widespread across England and Wales. Further ahead Tuesday is forecast to be a largely dry day with light winds, some scattered showers could break out in parts of the south, although confidence in weather details decreases significantly through the day. Dan Harris

central and northern Scotland. Some of the showers could be heavy and, with light winds, they will be slow moving. Uncertain from the middle of the week Beyond the middle of the week the forecast for the UK is unusually uncertain, though the most likely scenario will see warm air returning across