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  • Why has it been so warm and humid recently?

    . That warmth has continued into July, with mean temperatures placing this summer so far in the top 5% of all summers on record. Night-time temperatures have been especially notable, exceeding previous records for this stage of the season. By the end of the recent hot spell, temperatures of 30°C or more had

  • Festival forecast: Changeable weather on the way

    : Met Office Mon 24 Aug 2026 Festival season continues across the UK this week, but the weather is set to become increasingly unsettled as low pressure moves in from the south-west. While temperatures will remain a little above average and conditions become more humid, there is also a growing

  • An ‘unprecedented’ El Niño and its implications for the weather forecast

    South America (see figure below). El Niño also affects tropical cyclones and suppresses Atlantic hurricanes by increasing wind shear in the tropical Atlantic. Consistent with this, there have only been three storms so far this season, but it only takes one large hurricane to lead to devastating

  • Weekend weather: Blustery showers before a quieter Sunday

    Author: Met Office Thu 8 Oct 2026 The UK has experienced a mixture of seasons this week, with conditions ranging from warm and summery to distinctly autumnal. This weekend may even bring a brief hint of winter across some northern hills, as colder air, brisk winds and lively showers move across

  • wiser0057_odi-paper_forecast-based-early-action.pdf

    and late response in the case of droughts and cyclones 17 Figure 5 Illustration of possible outcomes of forecast-based early action 24 5 Acronyms ACAPS Assessment Capacities Project ARC African Risk Capacity ARDIS African and Asian Resilience in Disaster Insurance Scheme DFID UK Department

  • Process-based assessment of an ensemble of climate projections for West Africa

    is not sufficient to assess model projections. Direct investigation of the mechanisms for future precipitation change is also important, and existing efforts in this area have generated valuable hypothesis about the potential drivers of wet and dry responses [e.g., Biasutti et al., 2008, 2009; Monerie et al

  • 10-day trend: Unsettled weather before warmer conditions develop

    conditions develop later. Showers will continue overnight, especially in the north and west, before gradually becoming fewer. It will be a cooler night, with some places falling into single figures and most areas remaining in the low teens. Wet weather returning on Friday Many places will begin Friday

  • Understanding the Foehn effect and its impacts

    recorded in the United States. READ MORE: What role does convection play in weather? In the UK, foehn events are most commonly observed in the Scottish Highlands. Moist westerly winds from the Atlantic are forced over the mountains, bringing wet weather to the west while the east enjoys warmer

  • The Met Office and the rail sector: Keeping the UK on track

    and flooding to autumn leaf-fall and extreme heat, adverse conditions can disrupt services, damage infrastructure, and pose safety risks. Poor adhesion, caused by wet or leaf-covered tracks, is a significant issue, costing the rail industry and wider society an estimated £355 million every year

  • Weekend weather forecast: Colder, breezier and showery for many

    to be the coldest pair of days so far this season, not unusual for the time of year but a clear step change nonetheless. Expect a chilly start on Saturday, with some spots down in the mid to low single figures, and a cold feel in the wind throughout the day. Saturday: Bracing northerlies, sunshine and showers

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