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  • Met Office Deep Dive: A change on the way, but when?

    persistent, we need to look at the broader atmospheric pattern, particularly the behaviour of the jet stream. High pressure remains in charge through this week, bringing anticyclonic gloom for many ☁️ However, a change is on the way over the weekend with low pressure retuning, bringing wetter

  • NCIC Monthly Summary

    . There was plenty of settled weather, with only limited amounts of rainfall, especially in the south. Only during the last week of the month was the weather truly unsettled, a period which included the first named storm of the season. The mean temperature was provisionally 0.5 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term

  • Cold snap marks the end of a mild, wet Autumn

    Despite cold weather closing out autumn, it has been a mild season overall, especially across the southern half of the UK.

    Wales this was the warmest autumn on record, marginally warmer than 2011 and 2006. Autumn rainfall It has been a wet autumn across the UK, except for western Scotland, with parts of eastern Scotland, north-east and eastern England, southern England and the east of Northern Ireland receiving over 150

  • Why has it been so warm and humid recently?

    warm. That warmth has continued into July, with mean temperatures placing this summer so far in the top 5% of all summers on record. Night-time temperatures have been especially notable, exceeding previous records for this stage of the season. By the end of the recent hot spell, temperatures of 30°C

  • Met Office festival forecast: Mixed conditions for late July festivals

    conditions for late July festivals Author: Press Office 28 Jul 2025 As festival season continues across the UK, the latest Met Office forecast is here to help festivalgoers prepare for the week ahead. With a number of major events kicking off from Thursday 31 July, conditions are expected to be mixed

  • wiser0057_odi-paper_forecast-based-early-action.pdf

    and late response in the case of droughts and cyclones 17 Figure 5 Illustration of possible outcomes of forecast-based early action 24 5 Acronyms ACAPS Assessment Capacities Project ARC African Risk Capacity ARDIS African and Asian Resilience in Disaster Insurance Scheme DFID UK Department

  • Process-based assessment of an ensemble of climate projections for West Africa

    is not sufficient to assess model projections. Direct investigation of the mechanisms for future precipitation change is also important, and existing efforts in this area have generated valuable hypothesis about the potential drivers of wet and dry responses [e.g., Biasutti et al., 2008, 2009; Monerie et al

  • Weather 'not ideal' for BBC Radio 1's Big Weekend

    Festivalgoers in Liverpool should prep for all seasons as BBC Radio 1’s Big Weekend comes with a varied weather forecast.

    and showers may make it feel cooler. Festivalgoers should also be mindful of ground conditions at Sefton Park. As an outdoor venue with large grassed areas and uneven terrain, wet weather could lead to muddy or waterlogged patches. Waterproof footwear and layered clothing are highly recommended. It’s

  • barometer-issue-35.pdf

    the infamous snowy / windy / cold / sunny winter of 2016-17? I just hoped it wouldn’t be another wet winter. Winter 2015-16 was the second wettest on record; 2013-14 was the wettest in a series extending back to 1910. Those seasons were dominated by a powerful jet stream over the Atlantic, spawning

  • mwr_2024_12_for_print.pdf

    began with a mix of rain and wintry showers, particularly affecting northern and western regions. Storm Darragh, the fourth named storm of the season, brought significant disruption from the 6th to the 8th, with heavy rain and severe gales, especially in coastal areas of Wales and southwest England

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