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• southern-england_-climate-met-office.pdf

  in these seasons. In summer, convection caused by solar surface heating sometimes forms shower clouds and a large proportion of rain falls from showers and thunderstorms then. The additional heat from the London urban area can encourage such shower development in summer. A further factor that greatly affects

• southern-england_-climate-met-officepdf

  in these seasons. In summer, convection caused by solar surface heating sometimes forms shower clouds and a large proportion of rain falls from showers and thunderstorms then. The additional heat from the London urban area can encourage such shower development in summer. A further factor that greatly affects

• NCIC Monthly Summary

  . There was plenty of settled weather, with only limited amounts of rainfall, especially in the south. Only during the last week of the month was the weather truly unsettled, a period which included the first named storm of the season. The mean temperature was provisionally 0.5 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term

• Met Office Deep Dive: A change on the way, but when?

  , we need to look at the broader atmospheric pattern, particularly the behaviour of the jet stream. High pressure remains in charge through this week, bringing anticyclonic gloom for many ☁️ However, a change is on the way over the weekend with low pressure retuning, bringing wetter and windier

• User guidance for the UK three month outlook

  the precise weather for a particular day and place. At this longer range we have to acknowledge that many outcomes remain possible, even though only one can eventually occur. However, over the course of a whole season (or over a whole year or decade), factors in the global climate system

• Process-based assessment of an ensemble of climate projections for West Africa

  is not sufficient to assess model projections. Direct investigation of the mechanisms for future precipitation change is also important, and existing efforts in this area have generated valuable hypothesis about the potential drivers of wet and dry responses [e.g., Biasutti et al., 2008, 2009; Monerie et al

• Festival Forecast: Settled weather set to continue?

  generally above average. There is a chance of showers, that could potentially turn heavy, on Saturday. Overall, conditions look favourable for enjoying performances from David Gray, Lewis Capaldi, Tom Grennan and Wet Leg. READ MORE: Deep Dive: Heatwaves, dry ground and warming seas Rock Oyster 2026

• 10-day trend: A changeable start to June?

  to bring a spell of wet and windy weather. There is potential for gusty winds, particularly across western parts of the UK, including parts of southwest England, South Wales, and the south of Ireland. While not exceptional, these winds could still be notable for the time of year and may affect

• An ‘unprecedented’ El Niño and its implications for the weather forecast

  South America (see figure below). El Niño also affects tropical cyclones and suppresses Atlantic hurricanes by increasing wind shear in the tropical Atlantic. Consistent with this, there have only been three storms so far this season, but it only takes one large hurricane to lead to devastating

• Weekend weather: A mixed weekend with brighter spells and some showers

  are not expected to be as frequent or intense as some seen recently, and many places will stay dry for long periods. Later in the afternoon, cloud and rain will begin to move in from the west. Northern Ireland will see the first of this wetter weather, with rain spreading into western Scotland through