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• NCIC Monthly Summary

  . There was plenty of settled weather, with only limited amounts of rainfall, especially in the south. Only during the last week of the month was the weather truly unsettled, a period which included the first named storm of the season. The mean temperature was provisionally 0.5 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term

• Met Office Deep Dive: A change on the way, but when?

  , we need to look at the broader atmospheric pattern, particularly the behaviour of the jet stream. High pressure remains in charge through this week, bringing anticyclonic gloom for many ☁️ However, a change is on the way over the weekend with low pressure retuning, bringing wetter and windier

• Process-based assessment of an ensemble of climate projections for West Africa

  is not sufficient to assess model projections. Direct investigation of the mechanisms for future precipitation change is also important, and existing efforts in this area have generated valuable hypothesis about the potential drivers of wet and dry responses [e.g., Biasutti et al., 2008, 2009; Monerie et al

• User guidance for the UK three month outlook

  the precise weather for a particular day and place. At this longer range we have to acknowledge that many outcomes remain possible, even though only one can eventually occur. However, over the course of a whole season (or over a whole year or decade), factors in the global climate system

• Why has it been so warm and humid recently?

  . That warmth has continued into July, with mean temperatures placing this summer so far in the top 5% of all summers on record. Night-time temperatures have been especially notable, exceeding previous records for this stage of the season. By the end of the recent hot spell, temperatures of 30°C or more had

• Met Office festival forecast: Mixed conditions for late July festivals

  July festivals Author: Press Office Mon 28 Jul 2025 As festival season continues across the UK, the latest Met Office forecast is here to help festivalgoers prepare for the week ahead. With a number of major events kicking off from Thursday 31 July, conditions are expected to be mixed, with humid air

• May 2026 weather stats: A breakdown by county

  Rainfall totals showed a marked regional contrast, with much drier conditions across southern and eastern England compared to wetter conditions further north and west. The driest counties were in eastern England, particularly Essex, which recorded just 13.7 mm of rainfall. Nearby Suffolk and Norfolk also

• Festival forecast: unsettled start, improving into the weekend

  with temperatures perhaps climbing into the high 20s Celsius in some spots📈 pic.twitter.com/URaUDBwOuo — Met Office (@metoffice) June 9, 2026 Gottwood Festival – June 11-14 At Gottwood Festival, Thursday is expected to be a wet start, with rain moving across the area and some heavier bursts at times. While

• An ‘unprecedented’ El Niño and its implications for the weather forecast

  South America (see figure below). El Niño also affects tropical cyclones and suppresses Atlantic hurricanes by increasing wind shear in the tropical Atlantic. Consistent with this, there have only been three storms so far this season, but it only takes one large hurricane to lead to devastating

• July 2026 weather stats: A regional breakdown

  July is often one of the wetter summer months, rainfall was exceptionally scarce across much of the UK. Only northern and western Scotland saw anything approaching significant rainfall totals. Nationally, the UK received just 19% of its average rainfall for the time of year, while England and Wales