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• Understanding long-range forecasts: Science, skill, and application

  to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data in its operations Accuracy in long-range forecasting

• How weather and climate change are shaping global food security

  insecurity There are a number of factors that could impact food security. These include:  Rising temperatures Average global temperatures are projected to rise in the coming decades. While this may extend growing seasons in some mid- to high-latitude regions, it is likely to reduce crop yields

• The influence of climate change on severe weather

  will become hotter. Met Office UKCP Local projections indicate that hot spells will become more frequent in our future climate, particularly over the south-east of the UK, with temperatures projected to rise in all seasons. Heavy rainfall In the recent climate, it has generally become wetter, particularly

• mounkaila15wafricacordexrainonsetscompressedpdf

  of the wet season in semiarid tropical climates of western Africa. Int J Climatol 21:1251– 1262 Sijikumar S, Roucou P, Fontaine B (2006) Monsoon onset over Sudan- Sahel: simulation by the regional scale model MM5. Geophys Res Lett 33: L03814. doi:10.1029/2005GL024819 Sivakumar MVK (1988) Predicting

• mounkaila15wafricacordexrainonsets.compressed.pdf

  of the wet season in semiarid tropical climates of western Africa. Int J Climatol 21:1251– 1262 Sijikumar S, Roucou P, Fontaine B (2006) Monsoon onset over Sudan- Sahel: simulation by the regional scale model MM5. Geophys Res Lett 33: L03814. doi:10.1029/2005GL024819 Sivakumar MVK (1988) Predicting

• ukcp18-factsheet-using-rainfall-data-from-ukcp-v2.pdf

  to less frequent, more extreme rainfall and therefore the seasonal mean may decrease while daily extreme values may stay similar to the baseline or increase. • See UKCP Probabilistic Extremes report and factsheet for more details. • Widespread wet bias in Europe and UK region in winter. Biases vary

• An unsettled April draws to a close

  rather wet. For example, Kent saw 185% of its average rainfall while West Lothian saw just 59%. At least one weather station in Kent (East Malling) reported more than twice its normal rainfall. Storm Noa on 12 April 2023 was the second named storm of the 2022/2023 storm season. It was named by Meteo

• mwr_2024_04_for_print_v1pdf

  maximum temperature maps - calendar view 9. Daily minimum temperature maps - calendar view 10. Daily rainfall maps - calendar view 11. Monthly atmospheric circulation 12. Weather diary 13. Notes UK overview April continued the theme of the previous few months, being unsettled, wet and dull. The April

• mwr_2024_04_for_print_v1.pdf

  maximum temperature maps - calendar view 9. Daily minimum temperature maps - calendar view 10. Daily rainfall maps - calendar view 11. Monthly atmospheric circulation 12. Weather diary 13. Notes UK overview April continued the theme of the previous few months, being unsettled, wet and dull. The April

• mwr_2024_04_for_print.pdf

  maximum temperature maps - calendar view 9. Daily minimum temperature maps - calendar view 10. Daily rainfall maps - calendar view 11. Monthly atmospheric circulation 12. Weather diary 13. Notes UK overview April continued the theme of the previous few months, being unsettled, wet and dull. The April