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  • ukcp18-fact-sheet-derived-projections.pdf

    general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

  • Winter and February climate statistics

    The winter of 2020/21 overall has been wet and dull with near average temperature.

    Interestingly we have seen the highest and lowest temperatures of the winter season in February. Cold conditions from the east brought low temperatures down to the lowest of -23.0°C at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) on 11 February followed by a southerly flow bringing warm weather from the Canaries

  • mena-climate-risk-report-final.pdf

    and sector-focused competition over depleting water resources. Food security Agricultural production is constrained by a lack of both water and arable land, with some regions constrained by temperature as well. By the 2050s, there is high confidence that warming will occur over all seasons, with increases

  • mena-climate-risk-report-finalpdf

    and sector-focused competition over depleting water resources. Food security Agricultural production is constrained by a lack of both water and arable land, with some regions constrained by temperature as well. By the 2050s, there is high confidence that warming will occur over all seasons, with increases

  • Met Office Deep Dive: Heatwaves, thunderstorms and satellite launches

    into an extratropical system as it approached the UK. While not expected to bring hazardous weather, Dexter has played a role in shaping our current conditions. Initially forecast to pass northwest of the UK, Dexter’s influence was expected to be limited to a spell of wet weather. However, by midweek, the story

  • Storm Goretti: Key stats from the multi-hazard event

    . Castlemartin Warren, in Pembrokeshire, saw gusts of 53mph. With these strong winds came very large waves creating dangerous conditions along the coast. READ MORE: A look back at the 2024/25 storm season Snowfall: Widespread accumulations and amber warnings Storm Goretti brought a spell of snow to Wales

  • Met Office deep dive: A gusty Bonfire Night and a typhoon heading towards Vietnam

    and creating waving effects on the lee side. For those planning to head out for bonfire celebrations, the timing and location will be key. A band of rain is expected to move across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland during the evening, making for a wet start in those areas. However, much of England

  • The influence of climate change on severe weather

    will become hotter. Met Office UKCP Local projections indicate that hot spells will become more frequent in our future climate, particularly over the south-east of the UK, with temperatures projected to rise in all seasons. Heavy rainfall In the recent climate, it has generally become wetter, particularly

  • How weather and climate change are shaping global food security

    insecurity There are a number of factors that could impact food security. These include:  Rising temperatures Average global temperatures are projected to rise in the coming decades. While this may extend growing seasons in some mid- to high-latitude regions, it is likely to reduce crop yields

  • Understanding long-range forecasts: Science, skill, and application

    to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data in its operations Accuracy in long-range forecasting

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