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South East England London East of England East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humb. North West England North East England Wales West Scotland East Scotland North Scotland Northern Ireland Jan year 1916 2007 2007 2007 1916 1916 1916 1916 1916 1916 1989 1989 1989 1898 anom 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 3.1

in mean sea level. However, our best estimate suggests no additional change due to the atmospheric contribution to extreme sea level. RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5 5 th 95 th 5 th 95 th 5 th 95 th London 0.29 0.70 0.37 0.83 0.53 1.15 Cardiff 0.27 0.69 0.35 0.81 0.51 1.13 Edinburgh 0.08 0.49 0.15 0.61 0.30

warnings, one for areas of South Wales and South West England and one for London and the South East of England, prior to the storm crossing the UK on 18 February. The left-hand image above shows a visible image taken from the geostationary Meteosat-11 satellite at around 1115 UTC on the morning

with degrees of global warming, Clim. Change, 117, 859–872, doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0581-7. James, R., R. Washington, and D. P. Rowell (2013), Implications of global warming for the climate of African rainforests, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London, Ser. B, 368(1625), 20120298, doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0298. James, R

Volcanic ash forecasts are available below. Volcanic Ash Forecasts are only available from London VAAC for volcanoes erupting within the London VAAC area.

around Plymouth and Dartmoor experienced snowy conditions overnight. Overall the weather was unsettled, with a succession of frontal systems bringing rain and wind. By midmonth, several counties including London and Kent had already provisionally experienced their whole-month average rainfall

at London St James’s Park. There was generally a mix of sunny intervals and isolated showers, but with longer spells of rain in the north-west on the 23rd, giving 32.2 mm at Honister Pass (Cumbria). 24th to 31st High pressure spread from the south on the 24th and 25th and then stuck around for the rest

in these areas on the 4th ranged from over 40 to nearly 60mm. There was a brief respite on the 10th and 11th with high pressure becoming established over southern England and, here, temperatures rose to just shy of 30deg Celsius especially around the London area. Normal service was resumed from the 12th

in mean sea level. However, our best estimate suggests no additional change due to the atmospheric contribution to extreme sea level. RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5 5 th 95 th 5 th 95 th 5 th 95 th London 0.29 0.70 0.37 0.83 0.53 1.15 Cardiff 0.27 0.69 0.35 0.81 0.51 1.13 Edinburgh 0.08 0.49 0.15 0.61 0.30

in central and southern parts, where it was warm with a minimum of 15.3 °C at Teignmouth (Devon and St Catherine’s Point (Wight) and a maximum of 21.1 °C at Heathrow (London). A cold northerly flow brought a sunny day for most on the 2nd with 11.4 hours of bright sunshine at East Malling (Kent