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• uk_monthly_climate_summary_201811pdf

  but turning mild by the 3rd. Persistent rain slowly cleared away from eastern parts on the 1st, with brighter weather elsewhere but some scattered showers in the west. A ridge of high pressure brought a dry sunny day but for a few light showers in the north-west on the 2nd, with 9.1 hours of sunshine

• PowerPoint Presentation

  months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition to ENSO-neutral during

• PowerPoint Presentation

  analysis vs observations JJA New 4.4 km – 9km High resolution data assimilation New + analysis 4.4 km – 9km 4.4 km improved against observations Still some degradation in the tropics Z. Zaplotnik, J. Schröttle, E. Orlandi and J. Bandeiras A more detailed look… Convection Too much light precipitation

• NCIC Monthly Summary

  southern areas by midday on the 2nd, with sunshine for most parts but isolated showers over Cumbria. The 3rd was cloudier, with rain, mostly light and patchy, for northern and central parts. Again it was generally cloudy on the 4th, with local mist or fog patches first thing, and rain, heavy at times

• Met Office daily weather: Unsettled with heavy rain and thunderstorms

  .  Later in the day, another band of potentially heavy rain is expected to move into southern and southwestern regions. Winds will generally remain light, though breezy conditions may develop towards the far southwest. ⚠️⚠️ Amber weather warning issued ⚠️⚠️ Torrential, thundery rain across parts

• Met Office daily weather: Fog clearing, sunshine for many, patchy rain in the northwest

  thickening as the day progresses, accompanied by stronger winds and patchy rain. Temperatures will reach the seasonal average following a chilly start, with local highs of 18-20°C in the south, making it feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine and light winds for many. Many of us will open the curtains

• Met Office daily weather: Fog clearing, sunshine for many, patchy rain in the northwest

  thickening as the day progresses, accompanied by stronger winds and patchy rain. Temperatures will reach maxima around the seasonal average following a chilly start, with local highs of 18-20°C in the south, making it feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine and light winds for many. Many of us will open

• Met Office weather: Warm and sunny with temperatures rising

  Starting off on Tuesday morning, the Northern Isles will see cloud and light rain or drizzle by day, with some scattered showers in Caithness in the afternoon. Elsewhere we'll see dry and sunny conditions, with much warmer temperatures. Inland areas will see temperatures mostly between 22-24°C

• Met Office daily weather: Unsettled with rain and cooler conditions for many

  , though large amounts of cloud are expected, with only a few light showers and the best chance of sunny spells reserved for eastern areas. Two yellow weather warnings have been issued. The first is for rain in eastern Northern Ireland between 7am and 7pm on Saturday. The second is for rain in western

• Met Office daily weather: Heat rising as we head into the weekend

  . Western areas and parts of northern England will be cloudier, with the potential for light rain or drizzle, particularly near coasts and on hills. It will be another warm and muggy night across England and Wales, although temperatures may dip slightly compared to the previous night. Further north