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How long will the cold last?
Jan 2024 Will the current cold spell last or will we see a return to the wet and windy weather we experienced through the Christmas and new year period? After the unsettled Christmas and New Year period we are now seeing an abrupt change to much colder weather with temperatures below average
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Relative lack of Spring rainfall triggers water scarcity alert
back to winter; a season traditionally regarded as a recharge period for the UK’s water supplies. UK rainfall over winter was down compared with average, with only 83% of average rainfall being recorded for the UK. This relative shortfall in a key period fuelled hopes for more rain to come for spring
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Easter weather extremes: the records behind a famously changeable weekend
, particularly in exposed north‑western areas. While there remains some uncertainty in the finer detail, the overall signal points towards a wet and windy Easter weekend, a reminder that this time of year can deliver a wide range of weather. The Easter weather station record book shows just how
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wiser0106_sahel-forecasting-applications-report.pdf
available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile
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Met Office Deep Dive: Winter arrives early
to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden
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ex-hurricane-ophelia-16-october-2017---met-office.pdf
) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland
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ukcp18-fact-sheet-derived-projections.pdf
general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean
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Met Office 10-day trend: A tale of two halves for September
for September Author: Press Office Thu 25 Sep 2025 September has been a month of contrasts across the UK, with the weather delivering a tale of two halves. The start of the month was unsettled, bringing plenty of wet weather and changeable conditions. However, as we moved further into September, the pattern
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Deep Dive: extreme rainfall, spring frost and a dry April
will avoid them altogether. Overall, rainfall is expected to be fairly localised, with long dry spells for many. Later in the week, low-pressure passing to the north‑west may bring wetter and windier conditions to parts of Scotland, but again these are not expected to be extreme. READ MORE: May Bank
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Met Office Deep Dive: Heatwaves, thunderstorms and satellite launches
into an extratropical system as it approached the UK. While not expected to bring hazardous weather, Dexter has played a role in shaping our current conditions. Initially forecast to pass northwest of the UK, Dexter’s influence was expected to be limited to a spell of wet weather. However, by midweek, the story