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• wiser0106_sahel-forecasting-applications-report.pdf

  available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile

• Met Office deep dive: A gusty Bonfire Night and a typhoon heading towards Vietnam

  and creating waving effects on the lee side. For those planning to head out for bonfire celebrations, the timing and location will be key. A band of rain is expected to move across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland during the evening, making for a wet start in those areas. However, much of England

• Winter and February climate statistics

  The winter of 2020/21 overall has been wet and dull with near average temperature.

  Interestingly we have seen the highest and lowest temperatures of the winter season in February. Cold conditions from the east brought low temperatures down to the lowest of -23.0°C at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) on 11 February followed by a southerly flow bringing warm weather from the Canaries

• Met Office 10-day trend: A tale of two halves for September

  for September Author: Press Office Thu 25 Sep 2025 September has been a month of contrasts across the UK, with the weather delivering a tale of two halves. The start of the month was unsettled, bringing plenty of wet weather and changeable conditions. However, as we moved further into September, the pattern

• ukcp18-fact-sheet-derived-projections.pdf

  general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

• Met Office Deep Dive: Winter arrives early

  to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden

• ex-hurricane-ophelia-16-october-2017---met-office.pdf

  ) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland

• mena-climate-risk-report-final.pdf

  and sector-focused competition over depleting water resources. Food security Agricultural production is constrained by a lack of both water and arable land, with some regions constrained by temperature as well. By the 2050s, there is high confidence that warming will occur over all seasons, with increases

• mena-climate-risk-report-finalpdf

  and sector-focused competition over depleting water resources. Food security Agricultural production is constrained by a lack of both water and arable land, with some regions constrained by temperature as well. By the 2050s, there is high confidence that warming will occur over all seasons, with increases

• Met Office Deep Dive: Heatwaves, thunderstorms and satellite launches

  into an extratropical system as it approached the UK. While not expected to bring hazardous weather, Dexter has played a role in shaping our current conditions. Initially forecast to pass northwest of the UK, Dexter’s influence was expected to be limited to a spell of wet weather. However, by midweek, the story