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• Seasonal Climate Outlooks user guide

  of a particular place is often described in seasonal periods (e.g. summer/ winter or rainy/ dry season) over the cycle of the year.   The climate can also naturally vary between different years due to the process of Earth system cycles, especially those associated with large circulations of the oceans

• Week ahead: Heat builds again, but not everywhere

  and showers bringing quite different conditions. Tuesday: hot in the southeast, wet further north Tuesday brings mixed fortunes. For parts of Northern Ireland and Scotland, the day is expected to begin wet, with some windy conditions across the far north of Scotland during the early part of the day

• How long will the cold last?

  Jan 2024 Will the current cold spell last or will we see a return to the wet and windy weather we experienced through the Christmas and new year period? After the unsettled Christmas and New Year period we are now seeing an abrupt change to much colder weather with temperatures below average

• What is the jet stream and how does it affect our weather?

  and making their paths less predictable. These meanders can lead to prolonged periods of wet or dry weather, depending on where the jet stream is positioned. The jet stream can also intensify weather systems. When it flows over an area of low pressure, it can act like a vacuum cleaner, drawing air out

• Week ahead: Unsettled at first, but how warm will it get?

  , producing a wet start for many, with the rain band gradually pushing into northeastern areas and lingering there for a time. Behind this rain, brighter spells develop but will be accompanied by frequent showers. Some of these could be heavy, with the potential for isolated thunderstorms

• Weekend weather: warmer conditions developing, but a mixed picture across the UK 

  (@metoffice) July 1, 2026 Sunday: warmer for many, wetter in the north-west  By Sunday, the contrast across the UK becomes even more pronounced. Widespread rain is expected across Scotland, with outbreaks also affecting parts of Northern England, including the Pennines and Lake District, as well

• wiser0106_sahel-forecasting-applications-report.pdf

  available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile

• Easter weather extremes: the records behind a famously changeable weekend

  , particularly in exposed north‑western areas. While there remains some uncertainty in the finer detail, the overall signal points towards a wet and windy Easter weekend, a reminder that this time of year can deliver a wide range of weather. The Easter weather station record book shows just how

• Relative lack of Spring rainfall triggers water scarcity alert

  back to winter; a season traditionally regarded as a recharge period for the UK’s water supplies. UK rainfall over winter was down compared with average, with only 83% of average rainfall being recorded for the UK. This relative shortfall in a key period fuelled hopes for more rain to come for spring

• Met Office Deep Dive: Winter arrives early

  to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden