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to May Overview 6 Global Outlook - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) –Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) considers ENSO to be neutral with the conditions not being met for a La Niña event to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions ate

in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map

in a neutral state. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research

, and parts of Northern Ireland. A cooler and cloudier afternoon for most of us compared to yesterday with showers and thunderstorms possible in places⛈️ Sudden downpours could give some localised flooding but some places will stay dry💦 With light winds it will feel warm in the sunshine🌤️Stay

afternoon with some good sunny spells. Winds were generally light and variable. It was a warm day generally and locally hot across parts of eastern and South East England. Significant weather event One very heavy thunderstorm in northwest London during the evening of the 14th caused serious flooding

earlier in the week, temperatures are now rising across much of the UK as warmer air is drawn northeast from the North Atlantic. This has brought a lot of moisture too which will help trigger showers as well as allow some low cloud to affect some coasts. With light winds, showers that do develop

and apart from the odd isolated patch of drizzle in northwest England, it was dry. Northern Scotland was mainly sunny and dry. Winds were generally light and from the east or northeast. Temperatures were about or slightly below normal but warm across East Anglia. Significant weather event Continuous rain

stayed mainly dry with some sunshine. In comparison, Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England had a much quieter day with a good deal of sunshine, although the rain across southern areas pushed into northern England during the late afternoon and early evening. Winds were generally light, although

mostly dry with some sunshine and feeling warm thanks to the humid air and light winds. Even during Saturday there is the threat of some showers forming in the south and west with the chance of the odd rumble of thunder. However, these are expected to be fairly limited in extent with some focus

Much of the weekend will see a continuation of the dry, settled weather that many have seen over in recent days, with some long spells of sunshine, especially in the south.   After some early mist and fog on Saturday morning, light winds and sunshine will be the main theme for many, with only