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State of the UK Climate 2015 Mike Kendon 1 , Dr Mark McCarthy 1 , Dr Svetlana Jevrejeva 2 , Tim Legg 1 1 Met Office National Climate Information Centre 2 National Oceanography Centre Cover: Satellite image of storm Desmond on 5 December 2015. The low pressure centre is off south-east Iceland at 940

forecast information to the interests of different customer groups which can include for example, the general public, emergency responders or airlines. To ensure that people and critical operations will not be put at risk by unexpected weather, the Met Office Operations Centre operates round

Weather Rainfall distribution Visibility Hazards Sunday Morning Wide spread thunder rain Moderate Variable Moderate waves Wide spread thunder rain Many places Moderate Sunday Afternoon Moderate West Smallwaves Sunny intervals Good Night before midnight Light West Smallwaves Partly cloudy Night

light: 50 – 250 lux, depending on the light sensitivity of the item o UV radiation: less than 75 mw/lm (micro watts per lumen) o Display case construction: where appropriate, items on display will be cased and the internal case environments tailored to suit the items within. o Storage: where practicable

. (Not from UK civil aerodromes) 5 Present weather + = Heavy (well developed in the case of +FC and +PO); - = Light; no qualifier = Moderate. BC=Patches BL=Blowing BR=Mist DR=Drifting DS=Duststorm DU=Dust DZ=Drizzle FC=Funnel cloud FG=Fog FU=Smoke FZ=Freezing GR=Hail (>5mm) GS=Small hail or snow pellets

are, by definition, rare, which means we have relatively few observations, especially in light of our changing climate. This means it is difficult to estimate the current chances of extreme weather and climate events. To overcome this, the CSSP China project pioneered a technique using the Met

start for some. Otherwise, it will be a fine day with light winds and a fair amount of sunshine in many areas, although freezing fog patches could persist in a few places.  How long the more settled, colder conditions will last is uncertain, with rain probably returning to westernmost areas at least

conditions. There will be spells of cloud and light rain at times in the north west as weak fronts move in but they will quickly dissolve. Temperatures will gradually rise through the week, with an expected high of 24°C, possibly 25°C, by Thursday. These temperature highs are expected to be in parts

in 17 people being killed along with 4 horses. The thunderstorms across South East England slowly died away during the evening and here it turned rather misty. Winds generally were light and from the southeast. Temperatures were above the late May average generally and very warm, locally hot

and Saturday, some of which could be thundery in nature. Both wind and showers are expected to ease on Sunday.   Further south, there will be plenty of dry and fine weather around in the weekend, with temperatures likely to peak at around 24C in the southeast. Some light showers are possible