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during Saturday morning, then there will be a general increase in cloud from the south and west through the day. Saturday night could bring some heavier bursts of rain at times, most likely to southern and eastern parts of the UK.   “By Sunday, conditions will be fresher, with sunny spells and light

temperature profiles. In the tropics and sub-tropics, convection has more realistic structure and spurious light rain/drizzle is reduced. Improvements in the representation of warm rain microphysics results in a reduction in the amount of spurious light drizzle that is especially notable

al., 2016). Figure 1: UK daily mean temperature for summer 2025. Periods of above average temperature are highlighted orange, and periods below average are blue. The 1991-2020 average temperature is shown in black. The (light) grey shaded regions show the (5%-95%) 10%-90% of all summers

., 2016). Figure 1: UK daily mean temperature for summer 2025. Periods of above average temperature are highlighted orange, and periods below average are blue. The 1991-2020 average temperature is shown in black. The (light) grey shaded regions show the (5%-95%) 10%-90% of all summers, and the thin

to May Overview 6 Global Outlook - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) –Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) considers ENSO to be neutral with the conditions not being met for a La Niña event to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions ate

in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map

in a neutral state. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research

State of the UK Climate 2015 Mike Kendon 1 , Dr Mark McCarthy 1 , Dr Svetlana Jevrejeva 2 , Tim Legg 1 1 Met Office National Climate Information Centre 2 National Oceanography Centre Cover: Satellite image of storm Desmond on 5 December 2015. The low pressure centre is off south-east Iceland at 940

being the warmest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology

percentile being the warmest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010