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• ukcp18_local_update_faq.pdf

  does not change the UKCP18 headline message of a greater chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers across the UK in future (Murphy et al, 2018). For 2061-80, under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the update suggests winters will be warmer by 3.3°C (2.0-3.5°C) 2

• This summer will ‘almost certainly’ be warmest on record for the UK

     So far this summer, rainfall is tracking below average, with 72% of the of the whole summer’s long-term average recorded. At this point in the season, you’d expect 93%. There is of course much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry

• Storm Antoni to bring wind and rain

  will still see a very wet day, especially in north Wales and north England. “Storm Antoni will also bring strong winds to a swathe of Wales, southwest England and southern coastal areas of England. The strongest winds will affect parts southwest England and southwest Wales where exposed coasts and high

• Seamless Global Modelling workshop

  -MIP - Ron McTaggart-Cowan Machine Learning Emulation of Climate Change Projections for Southeast Asia - Chen Chen Session 2b: AI/ML models and integration with seamless physical model development An AI/ML approach to NWP products using remote sensing data - Amar Jyothi Characterising the casual impact

• Severe cold on 27 – 30 December 1995: The UK low temperature record of –27

  these daily rainfall grids. Instead, various derived quantities are available, by season and year, as summarised in Appendix 1. Data Source The station data were extracted from the Data Components database, which is a part of the Met Office climate data archive and contains a simplified version

• A spatial analysis of trends in the UK climate since 1914 using gridded datasets

  of annual indices have also been calculated and gridded. These were derived from daily temperature (T) or precipitation data using the following definitions: • Growing Season Length (GSL) = period (days) bounded by daily T_mean > 5 °C and < 5 °C (after 1 st July) for ≥ 6 days. • Heating Degree Days

• How close are we to breaking spring records?

  records? Author: Press Office 14 May 2025 As we move through May, Spring 2025 is shaping up to be a contender for the record books, particularly when it comes to temperature, rainfall, and sunshine. With data up to May 13, the UK is experiencing a season marked by warmth, dryness, and bright skies, all

• Storm Amy on the way, but how unusual is it?

  is it? Author: Press Office 2 Oct 2025 Storm Amy has been named by the Met Office as the first storm of the 2025/26 season. As it approaches the UK, Amy is expected to bring a spell of very strong winds and heavy rain, particularly affecting northern and western regions. With weather warnings already

• ukcp18-temperature-factsheet-january-2026pdf

  changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • The probabilistic projections show

• ukcp18-temperature-factsheet-january-2026.pdf

  changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • The probabilistic projections show