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conditions. There will be spells of cloud and light rain at times in the north west as weak fronts move in but they will quickly dissolve. Temperatures will gradually rise through the week, with an expected high of 24°C, possibly 25°C, by Thursday. These temperature highs are expected to be in parts

and Saturday, some of which could be thundery in nature. Both wind and showers are expected to ease on Sunday.   Further south, there will be plenty of dry and fine weather around in the weekend, with temperatures likely to peak at around 24C in the southeast. Some light showers are possible

are, by definition, rare, which means we have relatively few observations, especially in light of our changing climate. This means it is difficult to estimate the current chances of extreme weather and climate events. To overcome this, the CSSP China project pioneered a technique using the Met

in 17 people being killed along with 4 horses. The thunderstorms across South East England slowly died away during the evening and here it turned rather misty. Winds generally were light and from the southeast. Temperatures were above the late May average generally and very warm, locally hot

, conditions remain showery and breezy. Temperatures will be mostly below normal across the country. Friday, expect clear or sunny spells with showers, some of which may be heavy and could merge into longer spells of rain. Winds will be light to moderate, but fresh to strong along southern coasts

al., 2016). Figure 1: UK daily mean temperature for summer 2025. Periods of above average temperature are highlighted orange, and periods below average are blue. The 1991-2020 average temperature is shown in black. The (light) grey shaded regions show the (5%-95%) 10%-90% of all summers

., 2016). Figure 1: UK daily mean temperature for summer 2025. Periods of above average temperature are highlighted orange, and periods below average are blue. The 1991-2020 average temperature is shown in black. The (light) grey shaded regions show the (5%-95%) 10%-90% of all summers, and the thin

to May Overview 6 Global Outlook - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) –Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) considers ENSO to be neutral with the conditions not being met for a La Niña event to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions ate

in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map

in a neutral state. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research