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• PowerPoint Presentation

  international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Whilst oceanic indicators, including sea surface temperatures

• PowerPoint Presentation

  (November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

• PowerPoint Presentation

  in the map indicate a ranking of temperature, with the 0th percentile being the coolest and the 100th percentile being the warmest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue

• PowerPoint Presentation

  Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating that: “There is a ~60% chance of a transition from La Niña to ENSO-Neutral during the Northern Hemisphere spring 2021 (April-June).” Despite this trend La Niña will continue to be a dominant driver of rainfall patterns, especially in the tropics

• asia-climate-outlook---september-2023-v2.pdf

  shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center

• 150414 International Consultation FINAL

  PWS International Products Consultation Executive Summary Although this was a fairly light touch consultation due to limited Secretariat resources, the evidence in this report is enough to be able to give some broad conclusions to the questions posed: 1. Are the current international services

• Met Office Weather: Clearer spells and rising temperatures heading into the weekend

  Friday will start with isolated fog patches that will soon clear, leading to sunny spells for many areas. It will feel fairly warm in light winds, especially away from North Sea coasts. However, outbreaks of rain, some locally heavy, will affect Northern Ireland and parts of the far western UK

• Met Office daily weather: A bright and breezy start to the week

  Scotland and Northern Ireland later in the night. Elsewhere, it will be largely dry with variable amounts of cloud, though cloud will thicken in the west and southwest, bringing some drizzle by dawn. Winds will be light in the south, and there is a risk of isolated fog patches forming under any

• Met Office daily weather: Dry and warm on Wednesday, turning more unsettled by Thursday

  morning through mid-afternoon. Cloud will gradually thicken from the west, with outbreaks of mainly light rain arriving across Northern Ireland by early afternoon. This rain will extend into other western areas, including western Scotland and parts of Wales, by the end of the day. Temperatures

• Met Office daily weather: Dry and warm on Wednesday, turning more unsettled by Thursday

  morning through mid-afternoon. Cloud will gradually thicken from the west, with outbreaks of mainly light rain arriving across Northern Ireland by early afternoon. This rain will extend into other western areas, including western Scotland and parts of Wales, by the end of the day. Temperatures