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• hctn_109_comparison_ukcp_cmip6.pdf

  in the south Asian summer monsoon and in parts of the extratropical North Atlantic Ocean, with wet biases over the Indonesian warm pool. In the Indian ocean sector, wet biases occur off the coast of Madagascar in DJF (in the region associated with the southern lobe of the Indian Ocean dipole (Behera

• Microsoft Word - NEB_upd_2021

  with statistical @ Crown copyright 2020 1 predictions from pre-season sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The detailed methodology is described in Part 2. For this forecast the GloSea5 component comprised an aggregation of 42 GloSea5 predictions (ensemble members) initialised between

• Microsoft Word - mwr_2024_08_for_print.docx

  , Northern Ireland and northern England. Following this the temperatures returned to around average for many and below average for northern areas. Scotland in particular saw cooler than average temperatures in the second half of the month. On the 22nd, the 12th named storm of the season arrived: Storm Lilian

• Storm Amy on the way, but how unusual is it?

  : Press Office Thu 2 Oct 2025 Storm Amy has been named by the Met Office as the first storm of the 2025/26 season. As it approaches the UK, Amy is expected to bring a spell of very strong winds and heavy rain, particularly affecting northern and western regions. With weather warnings already in place

• SPF City Pack_editable_template

  North Sea. Much of eastern England receives less than 700mm of rainfall per year and includes the driest areas of the UK. Average rainfall amounts are spread relatively evenly across the seasons due to the region’s distance away from Atlantic depressions, combined with higher rates of summer

• ukcp18-soil-moisture-factsheet-november-2025pdf

  are few, so we use proxy observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show

• ukcp18-soil-moisture-factsheet-november-2025.pdf

  are few, so we use proxy observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show

• DIGITAL VERSION

  Climate trends and risks in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region Current climate for zones in the MENA region Future climate risks by the 2050s in the MENA region Food security by 2050s Water security by 2050s Atlantic Ocean Mediterranean Sea Shorter growing seasons in many areas

• cssp-brazil-fire-risk-report-djf2020-2021_eng.pdf

  regions, especially in the northern part of the continent, weather conditions can change rapidly and a short dry spell can still lead to high fire activity even during a wetter than average season - please see Figure 8a showing fire trends and accumulated hot pixels in the Technical Information section

• cssp-china-science-summary-%E2%80%93-extreme-weather-english_mandarin.pdf

  for understanding climate variability in East Asia on timescales of seasons to decades and to assist in collaborative attribution studies of extreme events. Model development is at the core of CSSP China. Longer-term goals include joint development of high-resolution models for the East Asian