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• ukcp18-soil-moisture-factsheet-november-2025pdf

  are few, so we use proxy observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show

• cssp-brazil-fire-risk-report-djf2020-2021_eng.pdf

  regions, especially in the northern part of the continent, weather conditions can change rapidly and a short dry spell can still lead to high fire activity even during a wetter than average season - please see Figure 8a showing fire trends and accumulated hot pixels in the Technical Information section

• ukcp18_local_update_faqpdf

  does not change the UKCP18 headline message of a greater chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers across the UK in future (Murphy et al, 2018). For 2061-80, under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the update suggests winters will be warmer by 3.3°C (2.0-3.5°C) 2

• ukcp18_local_update_faq.pdf

  does not change the UKCP18 headline message of a greater chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers across the UK in future (Murphy et al, 2018). For 2061-80, under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the update suggests winters will be warmer by 3.3°C (2.0-3.5°C) 2

• mwr_2024_11_for_print_v1.pdf

  exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

• mwr_2024_11_for_print.pdf

  exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

• mwr_2024_11_for_print_v1pdf

  exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

• This summer will ‘almost certainly’ be warmest on record for the UK

     So far this summer, rainfall is tracking below average, with 72% of the of the whole summer’s long-term average recorded. At this point in the season, you’d expect 93%. There is of course much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry

• Storm Antoni to bring wind and rain

  will still see a very wet day, especially in north Wales and north England. “Storm Antoni will also bring strong winds to a swathe of Wales, southwest England and southern coastal areas of England. The strongest winds will affect parts southwest England and southwest Wales where exposed coasts and high

• Seamless Global Modelling workshop

  -MIP - Ron McTaggart-Cowan Machine Learning Emulation of Climate Change Projections for Southeast Asia - Chen Chen Session 2b: AI/ML models and integration with seamless physical model development An AI/ML approach to NWP products using remote sensing data - Amar Jyothi Characterising the casual impact