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temperature profiles. In the tropics and sub-tropics, convection has more realistic structure and spurious light rain/drizzle is reduced. Improvements in the representation of warm rain microphysics results in a reduction in the amount of spurious light drizzle that is especially notable

al., 2016). Figure 1: UK daily mean temperature for summer 2025. Periods of above average temperature are highlighted orange, and periods below average are blue. The 1991-2020 average temperature is shown in black. The (light) grey shaded regions show the (5%-95%) 10%-90% of all summers

., 2016). Figure 1: UK daily mean temperature for summer 2025. Periods of above average temperature are highlighted orange, and periods below average are blue. The 1991-2020 average temperature is shown in black. The (light) grey shaded regions show the (5%-95%) 10%-90% of all summers, and the thin

State of the UK Climate 2015 Mike Kendon 1 , Dr Mark McCarthy 1 , Dr Svetlana Jevrejeva 2 , Tim Legg 1 1 Met Office National Climate Information Centre 2 National Oceanography Centre Cover: Satellite image of storm Desmond on 5 December 2015. The low pressure centre is off south-east Iceland at 940

in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map

in a neutral state. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research

Much of the weekend will see a continuation of the dry, settled weather that many have seen over in recent days, with some long spells of sunshine, especially in the south.   After some early mist and fog on Saturday morning, light winds and sunshine will be the main theme for many, with only

stayed mainly dry with some sunshine. In comparison, Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England had a much quieter day with a good deal of sunshine, although the rain across southern areas pushed into northern England during the late afternoon and early evening. Winds were generally light, although

afternoon with some good sunny spells. Winds were generally light and variable. It was a warm day generally and locally hot across parts of eastern and South East England. Significant weather event One very heavy thunderstorm in northwest London during the evening of the 14th caused serious flooding

mostly dry with some sunshine and feeling warm thanks to the humid air and light winds. Even during Saturday there is the threat of some showers forming in the south and west with the chance of the odd rumble of thunder. However, these are expected to be fairly limited in extent with some focus