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Specialist forecasts for a resilient future

, with the potential to damage aircraft engines and systems. As the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres (VAACs), we are responsible for monitoring and forecasting ash dispersion from volcanic eruptions originating in Iceland and the north-eastern corner of the North Atlantic. Specialist forecasters produce

nwr_2021_final_user_guide-feb-2023.pdf

the next 48 hours across UK Domestic Airspace, to support situational awareness and planning (including staffing). A tactical (0-3 hour) trajectory-style forecast, and supplementary Meteorologist-written commentary issued ahead of and during convective weather activity within the London Terminal

Enhancing aviation safety: 40 years as a World Area Forecast Centre

, showcasing the Met Office's pioneering spirit to keep evolving in leveraging technology for global benefit. 22 November 1984 was a pivotal moment, when the World Area Forecast System regulations first came into force in ICAO documentation. This milestone officially designated us as WAFC London

Nicola Golding

Office in January 2011. Prior to this she was Content Developer at the London Science Museum, contributing to the Atmosphere exhibition focused on the complex science behind climate change and our options for adaptation and mitigation responses.  Nicola also spent time in Australia working at Monash

Met Office week ahead: Wet, windy but with hints of change

to change direction, potentially ushering in warmer air to London and the south-east, where temperatures could climb to 23 or even 25°C, depending on wind orientation. However, conditions remain much less pleasant across north-western parts of the UK. READ MORE: Hurricanes, typhoons and tornadoes: What’s

ukcp18_factsheet_probabilistic_projections.pdf

for the seasonal mean temperature • Medians increases with rarity, because 1-in-100 year events are by construction higher than 1-in-20 or 1-in-50 year events • Uncertainty ranges in return level also increase slightly with return period Figure 1 A comparison of summer daily maximum temperature for a London

Weather records for New Year’s Day and New Year’s Eve across the UK

on this day in the UK was 16.3°C at St James Park, London in 2022. Scotland’s warmest New Year’s Day reached 15.9°C at Achnagart (Ross & Cromarty) in 2022, while Wales saw 16.2°C at Arthog Fergla Fach Farm (Gwynedd) in 2022. Northern Ireland’s warmest was 15.1°C at Murlough (Down) in 2015. In stark

Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather as winter begins

, there are no signs of a prolonged mild spell, as colder air remains close to the north of the UK. The temperature pattern will be up and down, with London seeing a sharp rise followed by a gradual drop, and Edinburgh experiencing less dramatic changes but still some fluctuations. In summary

Met Office 10-Day Trend: Heat to peak into next week

England, and over 30°C in eastern England. Monday is expected to be the hottest day of this spell, with highs of 32-34°C possible in southeast England, including London and Cambridge. Scotland and Northern Ireland will also feel warmer than on Sunday as the warm air spreads further north. However

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