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) –ENSO is currently neutral. However, through autumn the likelihood of La Niña developing increases with most modelling centres now favouring the chance of a short-lived La Niña event. Some cooling of sea surface temperatures is now being observed in the central Pacific. 3-Month Outlook October

, the rainfall patterns over the next 3-6 months are expected to be strongly influenced by the ongoing mature La Niña event across the tropical Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely

(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

observed in the UK were a result of the dust and smoke in the atmosphere scattering the light from the rising sun. Particles of this size scatter more radiation from the blue part of the spectrum so that more of the red/yellow wavelengths of light will reach the eyes of an observer on the ground. Some

Tuesday will bring a mix of weather across the UK. Much of England and Wales can expect a dry day with sunny spells, particularly away from the northern and western fringes. Here, cloud will be more prevalent, with outbreaks of mainly light rain and drizzle, especially in the north-west

and central parts, particularly in rural locations, where lows of 4-6°C are possible. Outlook for Friday Saturday will begin largely dry and fine across much of the UK. A few light showers may linger in the southeast during the morning, but these will quickly clear. Sunny spells will develop widely

parts, particularly in rural locations, where lows of 4-6°C are possible. Outlook for Friday Saturday will begin largely dry and fine across much of the UK. A few light showers may linger in the southeast during the morning, but these will quickly clear. Sunny spells will develop widely, making

). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook

rain PM many - KMD (142 characters) Expanded into normal speech, this means: Here is the Trans-Nzoia County weekly forecast for the period April 19 th to 25 th . Light rain is likely to fall in a few places within climatic zones 1 and 2 on Wednesday afternoon. But moderate rainfall is likely in many

secretariat to circulate the report for MS1.2c ex-committee via email for review in early November 2021. 6. BEIS secretariat BEIS secretariat to use the first quarter of 2022 to carry out a light refresh of the CSA By 15 th November By 15 th November By 15 th November By 31 st March 2022 7. Met Office Met