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events. For example, while it’s not possible to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data in its

to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden

) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland

general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

Assessing the use and benefits of weather and climate information services in Pakistan Final report for the Asia Resilience to a changing climate programme August 2022 3 Authors University of Leeds Marta Bruno Soares Linas Svolkinas Hellen Msemo Natalie Suckall ICIMOD Mandira Shrestha Mani Nepal

, but southern and eastern England being rather wet. For example, Kent saw 185% of its average rainfall while West Lothian saw just 59%. At least one weather station in Kent (East Malling) reported more than twice its normal rainfall. Storm Noa on 12 April 2023 was the second named storm of the 2022

and the Met Office predicts there could be an increased water requirement for maize irrigation by the middle of the century which will increase the risk of extreme water shortages in the NFR (Xu et al. 2019). These water shortages are projected to occur mid-season, an important developmental time

to less frequent, more extreme rainfall and therefore the seasonal mean may decrease while daily extreme values may stay similar to the baseline or increase. • See UKCP Probabilistic Extremes report and factsheet for more details. • Widespread wet bias in Europe and UK region in winter. Biases vary

and sector-focused competition over depleting water resources. Food security Agricultural production is constrained by a lack of both water and arable land, with some regions constrained by temperature as well. By the 2050s, there is high confidence that warming will occur over all seasons, with increases

maximum temperature maps - calendar view 9. Daily minimum temperature maps - calendar view 10. Daily rainfall maps - calendar view 11. Monthly atmospheric circulation 12. Weather diary 13. Notes UK overview April continued the theme of the previous few months, being unsettled, wet and dull. The April