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Met Office Deep Dive: Winter arrives early

to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden

How weather and climate change are shaping global food security

) July 14, 2025 Climate drivers of food insecurity There are a number of factors that could impact food security. These include:  Rising temperatures Average global temperatures are projected to rise in the coming decades. While this may extend growing seasons in some mid- to high-latitude regions

Understanding long-range forecasts: Science, skill, and application

events. For example, while it’s not possible to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data in its

The influence of climate change on severe weather

from UK Climate Projections (UKCP) indicate that on average, summers will become hotter. Met Office UKCP Local projections indicate that hot spells will become more frequent in our future climate, particularly over the south-east of the UK, with temperatures projected to rise in all seasons. Heavy

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An unsettled and chilly week for the UK

Storm Ewan was named by Met Éireann, the Irish Met service, as the fifth named storm of the season on Saturday night. Storm Ewan brought strong winds to southern areas of Ireland on Sunday 26 February

and hill snow in some areas. Chief Meteorologist Andy Page said: “Polar Maritime air is becoming established across the UK with colder conditions expected for the next few days, but nothing unusual for late winter. The week will be characterised by wet and windy spells across the southern half of the UK

ukcp18-fact-sheet-derived-projections.pdf

general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

An unsettled April draws to a close

, but southern and eastern England being rather wet. For example, Kent saw 185% of its average rainfall while West Lothian saw just 59%. At least one weather station in Kent (East Malling) reported more than twice its normal rainfall. Storm Noa on 12 April 2023 was the second named storm of the 2022

ukcp18-factsheet-using-rainfall-data-from-ukcp-v2.pdf

to less frequent, more extreme rainfall and therefore the seasonal mean may decrease while daily extreme values may stay similar to the baseline or increase. • See UKCP Probabilistic Extremes report and factsheet for more details. • Widespread wet bias in Europe and UK region in winter. Biases vary

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Rain to reign as low-pressure dominates the forecast

The seasons are changing and so is the weather, with wind and rain for much of the UK in the coming days.

and for anyone looking for rain in the forecast there is good news. High pressure - which we have become quite accustomed to over the summer - will stay with us for a little longer, but by the weekend conditions will be changing as low-pressure will take the lead for several days, bringing wet and windy

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