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wiser0106_sahel-forecasting-applications-report.pdf

available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile

Met Office Deep Dive: Heatwaves, thunderstorms and satellite launches

transitioned into an extratropical system as it approached the UK. While not expected to bring hazardous weather, Dexter has played a role in shaping our current conditions. Initially forecast to pass northwest of the UK, Dexter’s influence was expected to be limited to a spell of wet weather

Storm Goretti: Key stats from the multi-hazard event

in Dorset and 60mph in Kent. Castlemartin Warren, in Pembrokeshire, saw gusts of 53mph. With these strong winds came very large waves creating dangerous conditions along the coast. READ MORE: A look back at the 2024/25 storm season Snowfall: Widespread accumulations and amber warnings Storm Goretti

The influence of climate change on severe weather

Climate Projections (UKCP) indicate that on average, summers will become hotter. Met Office UKCP Local projections indicate that hot spells will become more frequent in our future climate, particularly over the south-east of the UK, with temperatures projected to rise in all seasons. Heavy rainfall

How weather and climate change are shaping global food security

Climate drivers of food insecurity There are a number of factors that could impact food security. These include:  Rising temperatures Average global temperatures are projected to rise in the coming decades. While this may extend growing seasons in some mid- to high-latitude regions, it is likely

Understanding long-range forecasts: Science, skill, and application

. For example, while it’s not possible to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data in its operations

ex-hurricane-ophelia-16-october-2017---met-office.pdf

) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland

Met Office Deep Dive: Winter arrives early

to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden

ukcp18-fact-sheet-derived-projections.pdf

general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

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