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Increase in tropical cyclone risk to coastal regions Also known as hurricanes in the North Atlantic and typhoons in the northwest Pacific, tropical cyclones have maximum wind speeds of at least 74 miles per hour and can be up to 1000 kilometres in diameter. Research by Imperial College London as part

, Liverpool, UK 2 King’s College, London, UK 3 University of Southampton, UK www.metoffice.gov.uk Contents Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 3 1.1

College, London, UK 3 University of Southampton, UK www.metoffice.gov.uk Contents Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 3 1.1 Background

the south may bring some changes. Wednesday morning will see showers across parts of Scotland, some of which could be heavy and thundery. These will clear north-eastwards. Later in the day, the southeast may see showery bursts associated with the front, particularly affecting Kent, London, and East

. For a heatwave to be officially recognised, temperatures must exceed specific thresholds for three consecutive days. These thresholds vary by region: 28°C in London and the southeast, 27°C in parts of the Midlands, and 25°C across much of Wales, northern England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland. READ

on this day in the UK was 16.3°C at St James Park, London in 2022. Scotland’s warmest New Year’s Day reached 15.9°C at Achnagart (Ross & Cromarty) in 2022, while Wales saw 16.2°C at Arthog Fergla Fach Farm (Gwynedd) in 2022. Northern Ireland’s warmest was 15.1°C at Murlough (Down) in 2015. In stark

, conditions turn milder this weekend and remain relatively mild into the early part of next week. However, both London and Glasgow indicate a distinct cooling trend towards the end of February and the start of March, with temperatures dipping below average once again. Minimum temperatures will also

, with the potential to damage aircraft engines and systems. As the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres (VAACs), we are responsible for monitoring and forecasting ash dispersion from volcanic eruptions originating in Iceland and the north-eastern corner of the North Atlantic. Specialist forecasters produce

the next 48 hours across UK Domestic Airspace, to support situational awareness and planning (including staffing). A tactical (0-3 hour) trajectory-style forecast, and supplementary Meteorologist-written commentary issued ahead of and during convective weather activity within the London Terminal

, there are no signs of a prolonged mild spell, as colder air remains close to the north of the UK. The temperature pattern will be up and down, with London seeing a sharp rise followed by a gradual drop, and Edinburgh experiencing less dramatic changes but still some fluctuations. In summary