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Specialist forecasts for a resilient future

, with the potential to damage aircraft engines and systems. As the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres (VAACs), we are responsible for monitoring and forecasting ash dispersion from volcanic eruptions originating in Iceland and the north-eastern corner of the North Atlantic. Specialist forecasters produce

Met Office Deep Dive: Heatwaves, thunderstorms and satellite launches

. For a heatwave to be officially recognised, temperatures must exceed specific thresholds for three consecutive days. These thresholds vary by region: 28°C in London and the southeast, 27°C in parts of the Midlands, and 25°C across much of Wales, northern England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland. READ

Weather records for New Year’s Day and New Year’s Eve across the UK

on this day in the UK was 16.3°C at St James Park, London in 2022. Scotland’s warmest New Year’s Day reached 15.9°C at Achnagart (Ross & Cromarty) in 2022, while Wales saw 16.2°C at Arthog Fergla Fach Farm (Gwynedd) in 2022. Northern Ireland’s warmest was 15.1°C at Murlough (Down) in 2015. In stark

Enhancing aviation safety: 40 years as a World Area Forecast Centre

, showcasing the Met Office's pioneering spirit to keep evolving in leveraging technology for global benefit. 22 November 1984 was a pivotal moment, when the World Area Forecast System regulations first came into force in ICAO documentation. This milestone officially designated us as WAFC London

10-Day Trend: Mixed conditions across the UK

a general gradual decline, with London illustrating this trend clearly: a notable drop for the cold, sunny start on Saturday, a brief recovery, and then a slow easing downward through the following week. Looking further ahead, even beyond the ten‑day window, there are early indications that high

Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather as winter begins

, there are no signs of a prolonged mild spell, as colder air remains close to the north of the UK. The temperature pattern will be up and down, with London seeing a sharp rise followed by a gradual drop, and Edinburgh experiencing less dramatic changes but still some fluctuations. In summary

10-Day trend: Unsettled conditions continuing

, conditions turn milder this weekend and remain relatively mild into the early part of next week. However, both London and Glasgow indicate a distinct cooling trend towards the end of February and the start of March, with temperatures dipping below average once again. Minimum temperatures will also

ukcp18_factsheet_probabilistic_projections.pdf

for the seasonal mean temperature • Medians increases with rarity, because 1-in-100 year events are by construction higher than 1-in-20 or 1-in-50 year events • Uncertainty ranges in return level also increase slightly with return period Figure 1 A comparison of summer daily maximum temperature for a London

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