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College, London, UK 3 University of Southampton, UK www.metoffice.gov.uk Contents Summary ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 3 1.1 Background

and London, with a peak near Guildford. A corridor from Bristol through Birmingham to Manchester. Parts of Essex and Suffolk. These hotspots are partly due to population density, more people means more chances for tornadoes to be observed and reported, but they also reflect genuine meteorological

the south may bring some changes. Wednesday morning will see showers across parts of Scotland, some of which could be heavy and thundery. These will clear north-eastwards. Later in the day, the southeast may see showery bursts associated with the front, particularly affecting Kent, London, and East

, with the potential to damage aircraft engines and systems. As the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centres (VAACs), we are responsible for monitoring and forecasting ash dispersion from volcanic eruptions originating in Iceland and the north-eastern corner of the North Atlantic. Specialist forecasters produce

. Spectators should prepare for wet and blustery conditions, with patchy frost possible in northern areas by the end of the night. Saturday 25 October Chelsea v Sunderland (15:00, Stamford Bridge) A mostly dry and sunny afternoon is expected for central and eastern areas, including London. Coastal

to change direction, potentially ushering in warmer air to London and the south-east, where temperatures could climb to 23 or even 25°C, depending on wind orientation. However, conditions remain much less pleasant across north-western parts of the UK. READ MORE: Hurricanes, typhoons and tornadoes: What’s

for the seasonal mean temperature • Medians increases with rarity, because 1-in-100 year events are by construction higher than 1-in-20 or 1-in-50 year events • Uncertainty ranges in return level also increase slightly with return period Figure 1 A comparison of summer daily maximum temperature for a London

on this day in the UK was 16.3°C at St James Park, London in 2022. Scotland’s warmest New Year’s Day reached 15.9°C at Achnagart (Ross & Cromarty) in 2022, while Wales saw 16.2°C at Arthog Fergla Fach Farm (Gwynedd) in 2022. Northern Ireland’s warmest was 15.1°C at Murlough (Down) in 2015. In stark

England, and over 30°C in eastern England. Monday is expected to be the hottest day of this spell, with highs of 32-34°C possible in southeast England, including London and Cambridge. Scotland and Northern Ireland will also feel warmer than on Sunday as the warm air spreads further north. However

the next 48 hours across UK Domestic Airspace, to support situational awareness and planning (including staffing). A tactical (0-3 hour) trajectory-style forecast, and supplementary Meteorologist-written commentary issued ahead of and during convective weather activity within the London Terminal