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  • mearns_2013_narccap.pdf

    of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation

  • southern-africa-climate-risk-report-trd-finalpdf

    increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

  • southern-africa-climate-risk-report-trd-final.pdf

    increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

  • Microsoft Word - 2024_09_storm_bert_conall.docx

    Storm Bert, 22 to 25 November 2024 and storm Conall, 26 to 27 November A deep Atlantic low pressure system, named Storm Bert, brought a spell of extremely wet and windy weather in late November. The weekend of Saturday 23rd to Sunday 24th was exceptionally wet across South Wales and south-west

  • UK experiences coolest summer since 2015

    named on the 22 August. Lilian was the 12th storm to be named this storm season, and is the furthest through the list the Western European naming group has got since storm naming was introduced in 2015. Met Office Scientist Emily Carlisle explained: “I don’t think it will surprise anyone

  • factsheet_4-climate-of-the-british-isles_2023.pdf

    the UK and they ‘block’ the passage of depressions. These anticyclones are most common in spring but can occur in all seasons — sometimes they can persist for a month or more and completely change the character of the weather. In summer, the blocking anticyclones can bring a prolonged spell of warm

  • factsheet_4-climate-of-the-british-isles_2023pdf

    the UK and they ‘block’ the passage of depressions. These anticyclones are most common in spring but can occur in all seasons — sometimes they can persist for a month or more and completely change the character of the weather. In summer, the blocking anticyclones can bring a prolonged spell of warm

  • Last supermoon of 2025 tonight, but will it be clear enough to see it?

    will include the first full Moon of 2026. READ MORE:10-day trend: Wet and mild conditions dominate early December Weather outlook: Will you get a clear view? As with all astronomical events, the weather will play a crucial role in determining visibility. Tonight’s forecast suggests that viewing

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    of Wind for DJF and JJA Fig 6. Projections of Precipitation for Winter (DJF) and Summer (JJA) of 2050s Results � • Validation: Fig 2 to Fig 4 T: DJF-model>obs; JJA-model<obs (Fig 2) P: DJF-model wetter; JJA-model drier (Fig 3) W: model predicted less strength of Westerlies than obs for both seasons (Fig

  • UK on track for one of its warmest summers on record

    in the season, you’d expect 85%. There is of course, much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry, whilst north-western parts of the UK, especially Scotland, have been much wetter. Northern Scotland has already seen 98% of its seasonal

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