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Exploring applications of multi-year predictability of Sahel rainfall: Recommendations for further products Neil Ward1 and Declan Conway2 1 Independent consultant. ([email protected]) 2 Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment. London School of Economics and Political

Rainfall Most Sunshine Highest Gust Highest Gust (mountain*) Greatest Snow Depth at 0900 UTC 17.0°C on 21st at Hull, East Park (Humberside, 2mAMSL) 0.1°C on 8th at Lentran (Inverness-shire, 146mAMSL) 11.9°C on 21st at London, St James's Park (Greater London, 5mAMSL) -9.6°C on 14th at Aviemore (Inverness

and a number of houses were flooded in Belfast. Flooding also affected southwest England, disrupting transport and causing the closure of a number of seafronts across Devon, and part of the main rail link to London was also closed at Dawlish. Parts of Wales saw flooding on the 8th. On the 9th

. The most active thunderstorms occurred on the 12th (in association with the only issued warning) across parts of London and the Chilterns with reports of 2 to 3cm diameter hail in places. As these storms headed northwestwards, there were reports of lightning damage to homes, one in Bridgnorth and another

MINUTES PWSCG (45) Meeting 10:00 – 14:30 Wednesday 30 th January, Room C21 Conference Centre, 1 Victoria Street, London, SW1H 0ET Attendees Wyn Williams (WW) Denise Harker (DH) Paul Furlong (PF) Colin Hord (CH) Nick Davies (ND) Jonathan McKee (JM) Carol Holt (CHt) Jenny Shellens (JS) Sarah Jackson

, and parts of Northern Ireland, Wales and the West Country had less than half the normal amount. The UK monthly extremes were as follows: A maximum temperature of 15.9 °C was recorded at Kew Gardens (London) on the 2nd. A minimum temperature of -8.8 °C was recorded at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) on the 5th

and 5th were warm and sunny for most areas but cloudier and cooler in the north, and a band of high cloud affected some southern areas on the 5th. Temperatures reached 26.8 °C at Kew Gardens (London) on the 4th and 27.6 °C at Heathrow (London) on the 5th. A band of cloud and rain progressed slowly

126 51.16179 -1.75458 ENG 1930 03749 MIDDLE WALLOP 90 51.14987 -1.56994 ENG 1959 03761 ODIHAM 118 51.23902 -0.94496 ENG 1963 03769 CHARLWOOD 67 51.14407 -0.22944 ENG 2002 03770 LONDON, ST JAMES'S PARK 5 51.50476 -0.13109 ENG 1903 03772 HEATHROW 25 51.47922 -0.45061 ENG 1947 03781 KENLEY AIRFIELD

, records back to 1971. Heathrow, Greater 2nd highest rainfall total, highest 151.2 mm in 1970, records 151.0 mm (30 days) London back to 1949. Dyce, Aberdeen 185.4 mm (30 days) 3rd highest rainfall total, highest total 268.3 mm in 1984, records back to 1957. South Farnborough, 3rd highest rainfall total

, temperatures of 30°C are possible in localised areas, particularly in the southeast. London, for example, could see highs around this mark. On Tuesday, the probability of reaching 30°C increases, with some areas potentially climbing even higher. Wednesday may also bring similar conditions, though