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) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Global: June to March Current

, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Global: September to June Current Status 8 Current

in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Global: March to December Current Status 8 Current Status – Precipitation percentiles

in the map indicate a ranking of temperature, with the 0th percentile being the coolest and the 100th percentile being the warmest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue

climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from

international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Whilst oceanic indicators, including sea surface temperatures

(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating that: “There is a ~60% chance of a transition from La Niña to ENSO-Neutral during the Northern Hemisphere spring 2021 (April-June).” Despite this trend La Niña will continue to be a dominant driver of rainfall patterns, especially in the tropics

August until the minimum sea ice extent in mid-September, melting returned to above-average levels, associated with degradation of the ice in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. Figure 5. 3-week running mean sea ice extent change for 2021 (red), compared to 2020 (dark blue), previous years from 1979 (light

AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC) W2SIP/NECJOGHA Greater Horn of Africa Climate Communication Workshop GHACOF51, ENTEBBE, UGANDA 9 th – 10 th FEBRUARY 2019 Program 8 th February 2019 Arrival of Participants and Check in Day One: Saturday February 9 th 2019 8:00-9:00 Arrival and Registration