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This summer will ‘almost certainly’ be warmest on record for the UK

   So far this summer, rainfall is tracking below average, with 72% of the of the whole summer’s long-term average recorded. At this point in the season, you’d expect 93%. There is of course much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry

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Storm Antoni to bring wind and rain

will still see a very wet day, especially in north Wales and north England. “Storm Antoni will also bring strong winds to a swathe of Wales, southwest England and southern coastal areas of England. The strongest winds will affect parts southwest England and southwest Wales where exposed coasts and high

ukcp18-factsheet-soil-moisture-water-balance---nov-2025.pdf

observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show a delay in season onset

mwr_2024_11_for_print.pdf

exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

mwr_2024_11_for_print_v1.pdf

exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

cssp-brazil-fire-risk-report-djf2020-2021_eng.pdf

regions, especially in the northern part of the continent, weather conditions can change rapidly and a short dry spell can still lead to high fire activity even during a wetter than average season - please see Figure 8a showing fire trends and accumulated hot pixels in the Technical Information section

ukcp18_local_update_faq.pdf

does not change the UKCP18 headline message of a greater chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers across the UK in future (Murphy et al, 2018). For 2061-80, under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the update suggests winters will be warmer by 3.3°C (2.0-3.5°C) 2

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Increasing influence of climate change on UK climate

the last decade Winter and Spring have seen 13% more sunshine3 Temperatures have been warmer by 0.9 °C3 Summers have been 13% wetter and winters have been 12% wetter3 Climate statistics in 2019 4 high temperature records Above average susnhine hours3 One of the least snowy years on record4 6 named storms5

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