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(Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Global: November

and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate

a ranking of temperature, with the 0th percentile being the coolest and the 100th percentile being the warmest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values

) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Global: February to November Current

, with patchy rain in some southern areas, and rain into the north later. The 13th was cloudy with light showers across the south, but brighter further north. The 14th was mostly cloudy for the Midlands and north, with patchy rain, but drier and brighter over southern areas. The 15th was cloudy for most

. Central and eastern areas started sunny on the 11th, with more cloud elsewhere and blustery showery rain pushing into the west. After a sunny start in central areas on the 12th, most areas were cloudy, with patchy rain in some southern areas, and rain into the north later. The 13th was cloudy with light

the north, and more cloud and rain spreading east across southern counties during the afternoon. 29th to 31st Many northern, central and eastern areas began with fog on the 29th, slow to clear in places, and the day was cloudy, with a few showers over the north, and persistent but mainly light rain

(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Whilst oceanic indicators, including sea surface temperatures

Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating that: “There is a ~60% chance of a transition from La Niña to ENSO-Neutral during the Northern Hemisphere spring 2021 (April-June).” Despite this trend La Niña will continue to be a dominant driver of rainfall patterns, especially in the tropics