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• UKCP18-overview-slidepack-notes.FF.pptx

  chance of milder, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers along with an increase in the frequency and intensity of extremes. By the end of the 21st century, all areas of the UK are projected to be warmer, more so in summer than in winter. The figure shows regional projections for lowest, central

• Food security under pressure from climate change

  exposed millions of people to acute food insecurity and reduced water security”. This is particularly evident across communities in Africa, Asia, Central and South America and Small Island States. In some oceanic regions, ocean warming and ocean acidification have adversely affected food production

• What does it take for a storm to be named?

  September, covering the following storm season. For Storm Austen, the key message is not simply that a named storm is approaching. Forecast details can change as its track and intensity become clearer, so keeping up to date with the latest forecast and warnings will remain important over the coming days

• Microsoft Word - NEB_ll_2021

  1, is produced by combining output from the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical forecast system with statistical predictions based on pre-season sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The methodology is described in Part 2. The GloSea5 contribution to this forecast for FMAM

• Deep dive: Could changes high above the Arctic influence the UK’s weather?

  the UK’s weather? Author: Met Office Wed 4 Nov 2026 The stratospheric polar vortex high above the North Pole is currently being disturbed, with signs that a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is developing. It is an exceptional development for this early in the season and there is an intriguing

• distillation_workshop_reportpdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• Pollen forecast: A clear north-south divide

  concentrations, particularly of grass and weed pollen.  Across Orkney & Shetland, Highlands & Eilean Siar, Grampian, Central, Tayside & Fife, Strathclyde and Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders, pollen levels will remain low throughout the period, with only early season grass pollen present at times

• Microsoft Word - 2020_10_storm_aiden.docx

  Storm Aiden 31 October 2020 Storm Aiden 1 brought strong winds and heavy rain to the UK on 31 October 2020. The storm was part of a spell of turbulent, wet and very windy weather from late October to early November as a succession of deep Atlantic low pressure systems, associated with a powerful

• 2024_08_storm_ashleypdf

  Storm Ashley, 20 to 21 October 2024 Storm Ashley, the first named storm of the 2024/25 season, brought wet and windy weather to the UK in late October with the strongest winds across north-western areas. This was a powerful, although not exceptional, Atlantic autumn storm. Impacts The storm brought

• Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Autumn 25

  -average rainfall. The weather has been unsettled, with the first three named storms of the 2025/2026 season and low pressure systems bringing frontal rain across the country. September was very unsettled, while October saw two named storms, Storm Amy and Storm Benjamin. Amy brought heavy rain