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mearns_2013_narccap.pdf

of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation

southern-africa-climate-risk-report-trd-final.pdf

increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

Microsoft Word - 2024_09_storm_bert_conall.docx

Storm Bert, 22 to 25 November 2024 and storm Conall, 26 to 27 November A deep Atlantic low pressure system, named Storm Bert, brought a spell of extremely wet and windy weather in late November. The weekend of Saturday 23rd to Sunday 24th was exceptionally wet across South Wales and south-west

strong-winds-and-flooding-from-storm-angus-november-2016---met-office.pdf

Strong winds and flooding from storm Angus, November 2016 The first named storm of the 2016-2017 season brought some damaging winds to the south coast, accompanied by heavy rain causing flooding mainly across parts of south-west England. Gusts in exposed coastal locations reached 60 to 70 Kt (69

Corporate Partnerships

unpredictable for a while now, the traditional seasons have changed, the wet season that was expected between February and March is no longer consistent. Livestock has been affected, with huge losses reported from the surrounding Kraals too. The animals do not fetch good prices at the market because

ukcp-probabilistic-projections-v2022-additionalmaps.pdf

results, referred to as the “new” projections. The maps presented here cover all four seasons, whereas those in Harris et al (2022) were mainly restricted to winter and summer. Here, we show projected changes for the RCP4.5 scenario during 2040-2059 as well as covering RCP8.5 responses for 2070-2089

Satellite image of the month - 2024

the storm. For more details see ESA - Arctic Weather Satellite’s first images capture Storm Boris. Credits:  Image: ESA August 2024 - Thunderstorms during Paris Olympics 1 August 2024 The Paris Olympics in late July to August 2024 began with wet and unsettled weather, featuring heavy rain

How weather and climate change are shaping global food security

) July 14, 2025 Climate drivers of food insecurity There are a number of factors that could impact food security. These include:  Rising temperatures Average global temperatures are projected to rise in the coming decades. While this may extend growing seasons in some mid- to high-latitude regions

food_security_climate_change_assessment_sudan.pdf

reduces with increasing latitude as the ITCZ reaches its maximum northerly extent. The most northern areas of Sudan receive virtually no rainfall. Wet season rainfall totals are highly variable from year-to-year due to large-scale dynamics in the climate system, such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation

Is it going to be a long, hot summer?

and their potential to influence the type of weather in the UK over the course of a season, dry, windy, hot etc. Factors in the global climate system act to make some outcomes more likely than others, because of this we can make a prediction, showing a spread of possible outcomes. We present the likelihood

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