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   So far this summer, rainfall is tracking below average, with 72% of the of the whole summer’s long-term average recorded. At this point in the season, you’d expect 93%. There is of course much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry

will still see a very wet day, especially in north Wales and north England. “Storm Antoni will also bring strong winds to a swathe of Wales, southwest England and southern coastal areas of England. The strongest winds will affect parts southwest England and southwest Wales where exposed coasts and high

North Sea. Much of eastern England receives less than 700mm of rainfall per year and includes the driest areas of the UK. Average rainfall amounts are spread relatively evenly across the seasons due to the region’s distance away from Atlantic depressions, combined with higher rates of summer

, Northern Ireland and northern England. Following this the temperatures returned to around average for many and below average for northern areas. Scotland in particular saw cooler than average temperatures in the second half of the month. On the 22nd, the 12th named storm of the season arrived: Storm Lilian

is important, here we only present seasonal mean quantities for the June to August (JJA) season, the most active season for TCs in the WNP; the Technical Report shows the results for all seasons. This analysis serves as a starting point to help build physical understanding to underpin analysis

observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show a delay in season onset

associated with an intense storm system passing over the UK, or a notably hot or cold day. Climate hazards relate to exceptional conditions over periods of months to seasons such as the exceptional wet winter of 2013/14, or summer droughts and heatwaves spanning several weeks or even months

the last decade Winter and Spring have seen 13% more sunshine3 Temperatures have been warmer by 0.9 °C3 Summers have been 13% wetter and winters have been 12% wetter3 Climate statistics in 2019 4 high temperature records Above average susnhine hours3 One of the least snowy years on record4 6 named storms5

does not change the UKCP18 headline message of a greater chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers across the UK in future (Murphy et al, 2018). For 2061-80, under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the update suggests winters will be warmer by 3.3°C (2.0-3.5°C) 2

exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells