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the SSP5-RCP8.5 scenario (Gutiérrez et al., 2021; Figure 2). In general, decreases in precipitation and increases in temperature and evaporation are expected to intensify drought severity and duration over the region. Wet season rain storms are also projected to become more intense, as a warmer

Systems (CREWS).    Since COP26, CLARE has become one of the most prominent research programmes in Climate Adaptation and Resilience globally. So far, 24 research projects are underway involving 136 organisations in 38 countries, three quarters of which in Africa and Asia. CLARE is developing research

and WP-MIP Machine Learning Emulation of Climate Change Projections for Southeast Asia 12:00 Discussion groups 13:00 Group photo 13:05 Lunch + Poster Session 2&3 14:00 Plenary debrief Ron McTaggart- Cowan Chen Chen ECCC CCRS Session 2b: AI/ML models and integration with seamless physical model

and WP-MIP Machine Learning Emulation of Climate Change Projections for Southeast Asia 12:00 Discussion groups 13:00 Group photo 13:05 Lunch + Poster Session 2&3 14:00 Plenary debrief Ron McTaggart- Cowan Chen Chen ECCC CCRS Session 2b: AI/ML models and integration with seamless physical model

and rainfall, with the southerly coastal regions being cooler and wetter and the northern areas being hotter and drier as they get closer to the Sahel. Observations from 1981-2010 show a moderate increasing trend in temperature compared to other regions of the world, but as the region has a narrow climatic

general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland

for understanding climate variability in East Asia on timescales of seasons to decades and to assist in collaborative attribution studies of extreme events. Model development is at the core of CSSP China. Longer-term goals include joint development of high-resolution models for the East Asian

findings from UK Climate Projections (UKCP) indicate that on average, summers will become hotter. Met Office UKCP Local projections indicate that hot spells will become more frequent in our future climate, particularly over the south-east of the UK, with temperatures projected to rise in all seasons

available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile