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• Microsoft Word - NEB_ll_2021

  1, is produced by combining output from the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical forecast system with statistical predictions based on pre-season sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The methodology is described in Part 2. The GloSea5 contribution to this forecast for FMAM

• distillation_workshop_reportpdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• distillation_workshop_report.pdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• Warmest Autumn on record for Northern Ireland

  with 31.3°C recorded at Castlederg during July. The near-record mean temperatures for Autumn were spurred on by a September that was the second warmest on record for the UK, followed by a warm and wet October that saw mean temperatures at 1.4°C above average. November also had above-average mean

• Microsoft Word - 2020_10_storm_aiden.docx

  Storm Aiden 31 October 2020 Storm Aiden 1 brought strong winds and heavy rain to the UK on 31 October 2020. The storm was part of a spell of turbulent, wet and very windy weather from late October to early November as a succession of deep Atlantic low pressure systems, associated with a powerful

• Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Autumn 25

  -average rainfall. The weather has been unsettled, with the first three named storms of the 2025/2026 season and low pressure systems bringing frontal rain across the country. September was very unsettled, while October saw two named storms, Storm Amy and Storm Benjamin. Amy brought heavy rain

• 2024_08_storm_ashley.pdf

  Storm Ashley, 20 to 21 October 2024 Storm Ashley, the first named storm of the 2024/25 season, brought wet and windy weather to the UK in late October with the strongest winds across north-western areas. This was a powerful, although not exceptional, Atlantic autumn storm. Impacts The storm brought

• 2024_08_storm_ashleypdf

  Storm Ashley, 20 to 21 October 2024 Storm Ashley, the first named storm of the 2024/25 season, brought wet and windy weather to the UK in late October with the strongest winds across north-western areas. This was a powerful, although not exceptional, Atlantic autumn storm. Impacts The storm brought

• Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Summer 25

  of 16.10°C. Although dominated by high pressure with a series of lengthy warms spells and a number of heatwaves, frontal rain and storms, including thunder storms affected many areas throughout the season. A series of Atlantic weather systems in early June brought cooler temperatures and heavy rain

• An autumnal week ahead

  of low pressure will move into the northwest of the UK. This means that many can expect a more notably wet and windy spell, for a time on Friday, than we’ve seen so far this autumn. However, this is nothing unusual for the time of year.” There is good confidence in the general trend for a cooler