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• Microsoft Word - NEB_ll_2021

  1, is produced by combining output from the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical forecast system with statistical predictions based on pre-season sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The methodology is described in Part 2. The GloSea5 contribution to this forecast for FMAM

• How Met Office forecasts supported the UK through a largely dry Spring

  as the sixth driest. However, the season had fewer instances of severe weather, with a subsequent decrease in warnings from previous months. So just how did the Met Office forecast develop and how was it used? We take a look… Light on warnings but not on some impacts Spring can typically be a season

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_201809.pdf

  , with the arrival of the first two named storms of the 2018/19 season, Storm Ali on the 19th and Storm Bronagh on 20th to 21st, during a spell of very windy weather. There were no significant weather impacts prior to the arrival of Storm Ali on the 19th. Ex-tropical Storm Helene approached the UK on the 17th

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_201809pdf

  , with the arrival of the first two named storms of the 2018/19 season, Storm Ali on the 19th and Storm Bronagh on 20th to 21st, during a spell of very windy weather. There were no significant weather impacts prior to the arrival of Storm Ali on the 19th. Ex-tropical Storm Helene approached the UK on the 17th

• distillation_workshop_report.pdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• distillation_workshop_reportpdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Autumn 25

  -average rainfall. The weather has been unsettled, with the first three named storms of the 2025/2026 season and low pressure systems bringing frontal rain across the country. September was very unsettled, while October saw two named storms, Storm Amy and Storm Benjamin. Amy brought heavy rain

• An autumnal week ahead

  of low pressure will move into the northwest of the UK. This means that many can expect a more notably wet and windy spell, for a time on Friday, than we’ve seen so far this autumn. However, this is nothing unusual for the time of year.” There is good confidence in the general trend for a cooler

• 2024_08_storm_ashley.pdf

  Storm Ashley, 20 to 21 October 2024 Storm Ashley, the first named storm of the 2024/25 season, brought wet and windy weather to the UK in late October with the strongest winds across north-western areas. This was a powerful, although not exceptional, Atlantic autumn storm. Impacts The storm brought

• Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Summer 25

  of 16.10°C. Although dominated by high pressure with a series of lengthy warms spells and a number of heatwaves, frontal rain and storms, including thunder storms affected many areas throughout the season. A series of Atlantic weather systems in early June brought cooler temperatures and heavy rain