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• ukcp-cmip5-downscaling-reportpdf

  member of RCM-PPE that gives lower PSS values though). This is consistent with the large (and significant) cold and wet biases seen in the north of the UK in this model in this season (Figures 16 and 18). The nested CPM-MRI reduces the contribution to the total rainfall from days with high rainfall

• ukcp-cmip5-downscaling-report.pdf

  member of RCM-PPE that gives lower PSS values though). This is consistent with the large (and significant) cold and wet biases seen in the north of the UK in this model in this season (Figures 16 and 18). The nested CPM-MRI reduces the contribution to the total rainfall from days with high rainfall

• distillation_workshop_report.pdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• distillation_workshop_reportpdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• How Met Office forecasts supported the UK through a largely dry Spring

  as the sixth driest. However, the season had fewer instances of severe weather, with a subsequent decrease in warnings from previous months. So just how did the Met Office forecast develop and how was it used? We take a look… Light on warnings but not on some impacts Spring can typically be a season

• richard-jones---k-scale-year-long-global-um-simulations-for-dyamond-3-at-convection-permitting-resolution.pdf

  RAL3.3 S Amer Africa SE Asia “DYAMOND3” Takasuka et al (2024); Grey-scale = incomplete and not yet available Regional evaluation of resolution and physics dependencies Increasing model resolution 5/3 scaling Parametrised convection GPM Explicit convection Claudio Sanchez Results from earlier DYAMOND

• richard-jones---k-scale-year-long-global-um-simulations-for-dyamond-3-at-convection-permitting-resolutionpdf

  RAL3.3 S Amer Africa SE Asia “DYAMOND3” Takasuka et al (2024); Grey-scale = incomplete and not yet available Regional evaluation of resolution and physics dependencies Increasing model resolution 5/3 scaling Parametrised convection GPM Explicit convection Claudio Sanchez Results from earlier DYAMOND

• north-west-england--isle-of-man_-climate-met-office.pdf

  that falls in these seasons. In summer, convection caused by solar surface heating sometimes forms shower clouds and a large proportion of rain falls from showers and thunderstorms then. A further factor that greatly affects the rainfall distribution is altitude. Moist air that is forced to ascend hills

• north-west-england--isle-of-man_-climate-met-officepdf

  that falls in these seasons. In summer, convection caused by solar surface heating sometimes forms shower clouds and a large proportion of rain falls from showers and thunderstorms then. A further factor that greatly affects the rainfall distribution is altitude. Moist air that is forced to ascend hills

• Week ahead forecast: Wet weather continues, but signs of change for Christmas

  , with the potential for drier and less mild weather. Let’s take a closer look at what to expect day by day, and how the broader weather patterns are shaping up for the festive season. A wet start to December The first half of December has been exceptionally wet in many areas, with some locations