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  • Microsoft Word - NEB_ll_2021

    1, is produced by combining output from the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical forecast system with statistical predictions based on pre-season sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The methodology is described in Part 2. The GloSea5 contribution to this forecast for FMAM

  • Warmest Autumn on record for Northern Ireland

    with 31.3°C recorded at Castlederg during July. The near-record mean temperatures for Autumn were spurred on by a September that was the second warmest on record for the UK, followed by a warm and wet October that saw mean temperatures at 1.4°C above average. November also had above-average mean

  • How Met Office forecasts supported the UK through a largely dry Spring

    as the sixth driest. However, the season had fewer instances of severe weather, with a subsequent decrease in warnings from previous months. So just how did the Met Office forecast develop and how was it used? We take a look… Light on warnings but not on some impacts Spring can typically be a season

  • distillation_workshop_report.pdf

    to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

  • distillation_workshop_reportpdf

    to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

  • uk_monthly_climate_summary_201809pdf

    , with the arrival of the first two named storms of the 2018/19 season, Storm Ali on the 19th and Storm Bronagh on 20th to 21st, during a spell of very windy weather. There were no significant weather impacts prior to the arrival of Storm Ali on the 19th. Ex-tropical Storm Helene approached the UK on the 17th

  • uk_monthly_climate_summary_201809.pdf

    , with the arrival of the first two named storms of the 2018/19 season, Storm Ali on the 19th and Storm Bronagh on 20th to 21st, during a spell of very windy weather. There were no significant weather impacts prior to the arrival of Storm Ali on the 19th. Ex-tropical Storm Helene approached the UK on the 17th

  • An autumnal week ahead

    of low pressure will move into the northwest of the UK. This means that many can expect a more notably wet and windy spell, for a time on Friday, than we’ve seen so far this autumn. However, this is nothing unusual for the time of year.” There is good confidence in the general trend for a cooler

  • Cold with springtime wintry showers

    pressure passed over northern Scotland, bringing a spell of wet and windy weather. As this area of low pressure pulls away into the North Sea a push of cold arctic air will follow, leading to a marked change of weather for all parts with frosts becoming much more widespread overnight. Andy Page

  • Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Summer 25

    of 16.10°C. Although dominated by high pressure with a series of lengthy warms spells and a number of heatwaves, frontal rain and storms, including thunder storms affected many areas throughout the season. A series of Atlantic weather systems in early June brought cooler temperatures and heavy rain

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