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• Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Autumn 25

  -average rainfall. The weather has been unsettled, with the first three named storms of the 2025/2026 season and low pressure systems bringing frontal rain across the country. September was very unsettled, while October saw two named storms, Storm Amy and Storm Benjamin. Amy brought heavy rain

• 2024_08_storm_ashleypdf

  Storm Ashley, 20 to 21 October 2024 Storm Ashley, the first named storm of the 2024/25 season, brought wet and windy weather to the UK in late October with the strongest winds across north-western areas. This was a powerful, although not exceptional, Atlantic autumn storm. Impacts The storm brought

• Stormy weather continues

  Storm Ali -  the first storm to be named by the Met Office and Met Éireann this season - is bringing very strong winds to Northern Ireland, Scotland, northern England and parts of North Wales today (Wednesday 19 September 2018). A wind gust of 91 mph has already been recorded in Killowen in County

• 2024_08_storm_ashley.pdf

  Storm Ashley, 20 to 21 October 2024 Storm Ashley, the first named storm of the 2024/25 season, brought wet and windy weather to the UK in late October with the strongest winds across north-western areas. This was a powerful, although not exceptional, Atlantic autumn storm. Impacts The storm brought

• Microsoft Word - NEB_ll_2021

  1, is produced by combining output from the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical forecast system with statistical predictions based on pre-season sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The methodology is described in Part 2. The GloSea5 contribution to this forecast for FMAM

• How Met Office forecasts supported the UK through a largely dry Spring

  , as well as the sixth driest. However, the season had fewer instances of severe weather, with a subsequent decrease in warnings from previous months. So just how did the Met Office forecast develop and how was it used? We take a look… Light on warnings but not on some impacts Spring can typically

• distillation_workshop_report.pdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• distillation_workshop_reportpdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• ukcp-cmip5-downscaling-report.pdf

  member of RCM-PPE that gives lower PSS values though). This is consistent with the large (and significant) cold and wet biases seen in the north of the UK in this model in this season (Figures 16 and 18). The nested CPM-MRI reduces the contribution to the total rainfall from days with high rainfall

• ukcp-cmip5-downscaling-reportpdf

  member of RCM-PPE that gives lower PSS values though). This is consistent with the large (and significant) cold and wet biases seen in the north of the UK in this model in this season (Figures 16 and 18). The nested CPM-MRI reduces the contribution to the total rainfall from days with high rainfall