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and a gradual shift towards more neutral conditions should take place during the first half of next year. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March

of the Copernicus programme to UK science. • Nick Jobling (Chief Financial Officer) presented the Finance Report which was consistent with the draft Annual Report and Accounts which ARAC had reviewed the previous day. He updated the Board on cash flow in the light of COVID-19 and in particular

, making for a chilly night in those areas. Some light drizzle may persist in the east. READ MORE: Met Office forecast for FA Cup Finals When you open the curtains on Saturday morning, some may be disappointed to see grey skies ☁️ Fear not, this cloud will gradually clear during the day to allow lots

and Scotland will see increasing cloud, with some light rain in the west. Thursday will bring more cloud and patchy rain to western Scotland and Northern Ireland, though this will gradually break up. Elsewhere, it will remain dry with sunny spells. Winds will be light to moderate, fresh along some

Scotland and Northern Ireland later in the night. Elsewhere, it will be largely dry with variable amounts of cloud, though cloud will thicken in the west and southwest, bringing some drizzle by dawn. Winds will be light in the south, and there is a risk of isolated fog patches forming under any

, though large amounts of cloud are expected, with only a few light showers and the best chance of sunny spells reserved for eastern areas. Two yellow weather warnings have been issued. The first is for rain in eastern Northern Ireland between 7am and 7pm on Saturday. The second is for rain in western

clearing into the North Sea. Additional heavy showers will move north-northeast across Northern Ireland and western Scotland. Elsewhere, the night will be largely dry with variable cloud and some clear spells. Winds will be light to moderate, fresh along some coasts, and it will remain a very warm

across different models from different modelling centres as well as the parameter uncertainty. They incorporates 15 members of the Met Office Hadley Centre model, HadGEM3-GC3.05 (PPE -15), and 13 other climate models selected from the climate models that informed the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

but turning mild by the 3rd. Persistent rain slowly cleared away from eastern parts on the 1st, with brighter weather elsewhere but some scattered showers in the west. A ridge of high pressure brought a dry sunny day but for a few light showers in the north-west on the 2nd, with 9.1 hours of sunshine

analysis vs observations JJA New 4.4 km – 9km High resolution data assimilation New + analysis 4.4 km – 9km 4.4 km improved against observations Still some degradation in the tropics Z. Zaplotnik, J. Schröttle, E. Orlandi and J. Bandeiras A more detailed look… Convection Too much light precipitation