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Scotland and Northern Ireland later in the night. Elsewhere, it will be largely dry with variable amounts of cloud, though cloud will thicken in the west and southwest, bringing some drizzle by dawn. Winds will be light in the south, and there is a risk of isolated fog patches forming under any

clearing into the North Sea. Additional heavy showers will move north-northeast across Northern Ireland and western Scotland. Elsewhere, the night will be largely dry with variable cloud and some clear spells. Winds will be light to moderate, fresh along some coasts, and it will remain a very warm

across different models from different modelling centres as well as the parameter uncertainty. They incorporates 15 members of the Met Office Hadley Centre model, HadGEM3-GC3.05 (PPE -15), and 13 other climate models selected from the climate models that informed the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

but turning mild by the 3rd. Persistent rain slowly cleared away from eastern parts on the 1st, with brighter weather elsewhere but some scattered showers in the west. A ridge of high pressure brought a dry sunny day but for a few light showers in the north-west on the 2nd, with 9.1 hours of sunshine

analysis vs observations JJA New 4.4 km – 9km High resolution data assimilation New + analysis 4.4 km – 9km 4.4 km improved against observations Still some degradation in the tropics Z. Zaplotnik, J. Schröttle, E. Orlandi and J. Bandeiras A more detailed look… Convection Too much light precipitation

. Western areas and parts of northern England will be cloudier, with the potential for light rain or drizzle, particularly near coasts and on hills. It will be another warm and muggy night across England and Wales, although temperatures may dip slightly compared to the previous night. Further north

thickening as the day progresses, accompanied by stronger winds and patchy rain. Temperatures will reach the seasonal average following a chilly start, with local highs of 18-20°C in the south, making it feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine and light winds for many. Many of us will open the curtains

Starting off on Tuesday morning, the Northern Isles will see cloud and light rain or drizzle by day, with some scattered showers in Caithness in the afternoon. Elsewhere we'll see dry and sunny conditions, with much warmer temperatures. Inland areas will see temperatures mostly between 22-24°C

thickening as the day progresses, accompanied by stronger winds and patchy rain. Temperatures will reach maxima around the seasonal average following a chilly start, with local highs of 18-20°C in the south, making it feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine and light winds for many. Many of us will open

, though large amounts of cloud are expected, with only a few light showers and the best chance of sunny spells reserved for eastern areas. Two yellow weather warnings have been issued. The first is for rain in eastern Northern Ireland between 7am and 7pm on Saturday. The second is for rain in western