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at Leeds, which includes process-based models as well as forecasting tools that rely on remote sensing data to make within-season predictions of crop production, with associated management benefits. Other examples of commonly used models include JULES- Crop, DSSAT and APSIM. • JULES-Crop: Part

0.5ᵒC everywhere (with an average difference of 0.1ᵒC on a temperature increase of 2.5ᵒC for the British Isles as a whole). Fixing the graupel code error also significantly 2 impacts simulated present-day precipitation in winter, with the fixed-code run somewhat wetter although still not as wet

RBG. These show that the frost-free season is o en as little as 3 months. Back to top Sunshine The number of hours of bright sunshine is controlled by the length of day and by cloudiness. In general, December is the dullest month and May or June the sunniest. Sunshine duration decreases

start, then a transition Friday morning is expected to be the coldest start of the week, with widespread frost and some of the lowest temperatures so far this season. However, as the day progresses, a transition begins. Wetter and milder weather will start to move in from the north and west

projections indicate that, on average, UK winter weather conditions are expected to become milder and for certain weather types, wetter. We focus here on the UK winter season when specific conditions are expected to have more significant impacts. • The UK experiences two dominant weather types

, Northern Ireland and northern England. Following this the temperatures returned to around average for many and below average for northern areas. Scotland in particular saw cooler than average temperatures in the second half of the month. On the 22nd, the 12th named storm of the season arrived: Storm Lilian

Storms Atiyah (December 2019) and Brendan (January 2020) Storm Atiyah was the first named storm of the 2019/2010 season. The storm was named by Met Eireann, with the worst impacts across Ireland, but the storm also brought some very strong winds to Wales and south-west England overnight 8 to 9

will include the first full Moon of 2026. READ MORE:10-day trend: Wet and mild conditions dominate early December Weather outlook: Will you get a clear view? As with all astronomical events, the weather will play a crucial role in determining visibility. Tonight’s forecast suggests that viewing

of Wind for DJF and JJA Fig 6. Projections of Precipitation for Winter (DJF) and Summer (JJA) of 2050s Results � • Validation: Fig 2 to Fig 4 T: DJF-model>obs; JJA-model<obs (Fig 2) P: DJF-model wetter; JJA-model drier (Fig 3) W: model predicted less strength of Westerlies than obs for both seasons (Fig

in the season, you’d expect 85%. There is of course, much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry, whilst north-western parts of the UK, especially Scotland, have been much wetter. Northern Scotland has already seen 98% of its seasonal