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in the season, you’d expect 85%. There is of course, much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry, whilst north-western parts of the UK, especially Scotland, have been much wetter. Northern Scotland has already seen 98% of its seasonal

will include the first full Moon of 2026. READ MORE:10-day trend: Wet and mild conditions dominate early December Weather outlook: Will you get a clear view? As with all astronomical events, the weather will play a crucial role in determining visibility. Tonight’s forecast suggests that viewing

-season sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The detailed methodology is described in Part 2. For this forecast the GloSea5 component comprised an aggregation of 42 GloSea5 predictions (ensemble members) initialised between 23 January and 12 February which cover the period

(@metoffice) January 11, 2026 How does WeatherReady help? 1. Practical advice for every season WeatherReady provides clear, actionable advice for all times of year. In winter, this might include tips on keeping your home warm, preventing burst pipes, or driving safely in icy conditions. In summer

of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation

named on the 22 August. Lilian was the 12th storm to be named this storm season, and is the furthest through the list the Western European naming group has got since storm naming was introduced in 2015. Met Office Scientist Emily Carlisle explained: “I don’t think it will surprise anyone

increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

the UK and they ‘block’ the passage of depressions. These anticyclones are most common in spring but can occur in all seasons — sometimes they can persist for a month or more and completely change the character of the weather. In summer, the blocking anticyclones can bring a prolonged spell of warm

: Autumn’s stormy spell and tropical influences Author: Press Office 1 October 2025 Are we in for a stormy spell on Friday night? How wet will it get before then? And could a tropical tango influence both of those things? This week’s Met Office deep dive explores a complex and dynamic weather pattern

to be much wetter over the lake (biases as large as 8 mm/day with respect to CPC- FEWS). The discrepancy between the amount of rain in the model and in observations is particularly pronounced in the late rainfall season (SON), but the bias is also present in the off-peak seasons. The bias is present