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: Autumn’s stormy spell and tropical influences Author: Press Office 1 October 2025 Are we in for a stormy spell on Friday night? How wet will it get before then? And could a tropical tango influence both of those things? This week’s Met Office deep dive explores a complex and dynamic weather pattern

of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation

to be much wetter over the lake (biases as large as 8 mm/day with respect to CPC- FEWS). The discrepancy between the amount of rain in the model and in observations is particularly pronounced in the late rainfall season (SON), but the bias is also present in the off-peak seasons. The bias is present

Strong winds and flooding from storm Angus, November 2016 The first named storm of the 2016-2017 season brought some damaging winds to the south coast, accompanied by heavy rain causing flooding mainly across parts of south-west England. Gusts in exposed coastal locations reached 60 to 70 Kt (69

increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

back to 1884. In a month that was wet and dull for many, people certainly didn’t feel that May was a record breaking month. But what could cause such a disconnect between perception and statistical reality? New analysis In new analysis, Met Office scientists have looked at what caused such anomalously

RAL3.3 S Amer Africa SE Asia “DYAMOND3” Takasuka et al (2024); Grey-scale = incomplete and not yet available Regional evaluation of resolution and physics dependencies Increasing model resolution 5/3 scaling Parametrised convection GPM Explicit convection Claudio Sanchez Results from earlier DYAMOND

the storm. For more details see ESA - Arctic Weather Satellite’s first images capture Storm Boris. Credits:  Image: ESA August 2024 - Thunderstorms during Paris Olympics 1 August 2024 The Paris Olympics in late July to August 2024 began with wet and unsettled weather, featuring heavy rain

results, referred to as the “new” projections. The maps presented here cover all four seasons, whereas those in Harris et al (2022) were mainly restricted to winter and summer. Here, we show projected changes for the RCP4.5 scenario during 2040-2059 as well as covering RCP8.5 responses for 2070-2089

unpredictable for a while now, the traditional seasons have changed, the wet season that was expected between February and March is no longer consistent. Livestock has been affected, with huge losses reported from the surrounding Kraals too. The animals do not fetch good prices at the market because