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• distillation_workshop_report.pdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• distillation_workshop_reportpdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• ukcp-climate-drifts-report.pdf

  . These changes initially warmed the land over much of the Tropics and south and central Asia (see Fig. 5 top panel). The stronger warming over much of the Arctic and the initial reduction in the AMOC over the first 20 years suggests these are more complicated responses to that initial warming. It is also

• Warmest Autumn on record for Northern Ireland

  with 31.3°C recorded at Castlederg during July. The near-record mean temperatures for Autumn were spurred on by a September that was the second warmest on record for the UK, followed by a warm and wet October that saw mean temperatures at 1.4°C above average. November also had above-average mean

• wiser0065-scipea-impact-article_hydropower-0618_2.pdf

  Powering up the forecasts East Africa has distinct wet and dry seasons, and accurately predicting the onset of its rains is vital for farms and businesses. Yet hydropower is equally reliant on accurate and timely forecasts – as an important climate partnership project recently demonstrated

• wiser0065-scipea-impact-article_hydropower-0618.pdf

  Powering up the forecasts East Africa has distinct wet and dry seasons, and accurately predicting the onset of its rains is vital for farms and businesses. Yet hydropower is equally reliant on accurate and timely forecasts – as an important climate partnership project recently demonstrated

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_201809.pdf

  , with the arrival of the first two named storms of the 2018/19 season, Storm Ali on the 19th and Storm Bronagh on 20th to 21st, during a spell of very windy weather. There were no significant weather impacts prior to the arrival of Storm Ali on the 19th. Ex-tropical Storm Helene approached the UK on the 17th

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_201809pdf

  , with the arrival of the first two named storms of the 2018/19 season, Storm Ali on the 19th and Storm Bronagh on 20th to 21st, during a spell of very windy weather. There were no significant weather impacts prior to the arrival of Storm Ali on the 19th. Ex-tropical Storm Helene approached the UK on the 17th

• Food security under pressure from climate change

  exposed millions of people to acute food insecurity and reduced water security”. This is particularly evident across communities in Africa, Asia, Central and South America and Small Island States. In some oceanic regions, ocean warming and ocean acidification have adversely affected food production

• ukcp-cmip5-downscaling-report.pdf

  member of RCM-PPE that gives lower PSS values though). This is consistent with the large (and significant) cold and wet biases seen in the north of the UK in this model in this season (Figures 16 and 18). The nested CPM-MRI reduces the contribution to the total rainfall from days with high rainfall