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southern-africa-climate-risk-report-trd-final.pdf

increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

The unbelievable May that had everyone talking

in a series dating back to 1884. In a month that was wet and dull for many, people certainly didn’t feel that May was a record breaking month. But what could cause such a disconnect between perception and statistical reality? New analysis In new analysis, Met Office scientists have looked at what caused

Microsoft Word - NEB_upd_2019_AC

-season sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The detailed methodology is described in Part 2. For this forecast the GloSea5 component comprised an aggregation of 42 GloSea5 predictions (ensemble members) initialised between 23 January and 12 February which cover the period

Tropical cyclone facts

Oceans the majority of names used are not personal names. While there are a few male and female names, most are names of flowers, animals, birds, trees, foods or descriptive adjectives. The names are also not allocated in alphabetical order, but are arranged by the name of the Asian country which

Met Office deep dive: a change in the weather and a look back at summer

and southwest during the early hours, making for a potentially wet commute for those not still enjoying the summer holidays. Thursday and Friday continue the theme, with frequent showers, especially in the west, where it may feel like a wet day with shower after shower. Eastern areas may see fewer

strong-winds-and-flooding-from-storm-angus-november-2016---met-office.pdf

Strong winds and flooding from storm Angus, November 2016 The first named storm of the 2016-2017 season brought some damaging winds to the south coast, accompanied by heavy rain causing flooding mainly across parts of south-west England. Gusts in exposed coastal locations reached 60 to 70 Kt (69

ukcp18-headline-findings-2.pdf

. In the past few decades there has been an increase in annual average rainfall over the UK, particularly in Scotland for which the most recent decade (2008-2017) has been on average 4% wetter than 1981-2010 average. Summers in the UK, for the most recent decade (2008-2017), have been on average 17

ukcp18_factsheet_soil_moisture.pdf

proxy observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show a delay in season

central-africa-climate-risk-report-trd-final.pdf

in the north-eastern part of the zone. • Inland (lake and river) fisheries and marine fisheries. Zone 3 is projected to be hotter on average, potentially wetter in the wet season, and potentially drier September-November. • High confidence for a warming of 1.5-4°C in annual mean temperature in the 2050s

Microsoft Word - 2024_09_storm_bert.docx

two wetter days being 30 December 1900 (80.9mm) and 3 November 1931 (75.6mm). The charts for Oxfordshire compare the extreme rainfall at the end of September 2024 with that from storm Bert. Totals from Bert were less extreme but show the surplus rainfall compared to average for the season overall

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