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in a series dating back to 1884. In a month that was wet and dull for many, people certainly didn’t feel that May was a record breaking month. But what could cause such a disconnect between perception and statistical reality? New analysis In new analysis, Met Office scientists have looked at what caused

of specific events. For example, while it’s not possible to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data

and southwest during the early hours, making for a potentially wet commute for those not still enjoying the summer holidays. Thursday and Friday continue the theme, with frequent showers, especially in the west, where it may feel like a wet day with shower after shower. Eastern areas may see fewer

increase and the number of days exceeding 35°C (40°C) is projected to increase by 15-35 (0-5) days per year across the zone. • There is no decisive trend for whether Zone 5 will become wetter or drier, although there is evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season. Year-to-year

proxy observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show a delay in season

. In the past few decades there has been an increase in annual average rainfall over the UK, particularly in Scotland for which the most recent decade (2008-2017) has been on average 4% wetter than 1981-2010 average. Summers in the UK, for the most recent decade (2008-2017), have been on average 17

Oceans the majority of names used are not personal names. While there are a few male and female names, most are names of flowers, animals, birds, trees, foods or descriptive adjectives. The names are also not allocated in alphabetical order, but are arranged by the name of the Asian country which

to be much wetter over the lake (biases as large as 8 mm/day with respect to CPC- FEWS). The discrepancy between the amount of rain in the model and in observations is particularly pronounced in the late rainfall season (SON), but the bias is also present in the off-peak seasons. The bias is present

-year anniversary of the project launch, on Saturday 26 March, these records have now been made publicly available in the official Met Office national record, extending it back 26 years to 1836. The volunteers’ efforts have revealed some new records for extreme dry and wet months across the UK

of impactful weather, with named storms, rain and snow finding their way into forecasts and headlines. But how accurate were Met Office forecasts in the season? Here, we find out. Read more Blog Week ahead forecast: Colder air settles in as high pressure dominates Christmas forecast As Christmas