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October started with the Met Office naming its first storm of the season, Amy. Then followed a typical autumnal month, culminating in above average temperatures, just below average rainfall, and well-below average sunshine.   A lack of sunshine for many  The UK saw its third dullest October

The Met Office, along with partners Met Éireann and KNMI today reveal the list of storm names for the UK, Ireland and Netherlands for the next season.

, Head of Forecasting at Met Éireann, said: “This summer has closed with Storms Ellen and Francis bringing wet and windy weather to our shores.  As we begin the new storm season for 2020-21, Met Éireann forecasters look forward to working in close co-operation with our colleagues in the UK

. There was heavy snow across parts of Highland Scotland and a mini-tornado in Greater Manchester. This storm contributed to the generally prolonged, very wet and unsettled spell of weather lasting through much of December. Weather impacts Storm Gerrit caused severe travel disruption to the rail

-based computer models show that El Niño brings increased risk of drought to South-East Asia, India, North-Eastern Australia and parts of the Amazon and southern Africa and increased risk of cold conditions to northern Europe in winter. We will be looking carefully at these regions with our

, but also in many parts of the world in the East Asia, in the Middle East, in North America and so forth.   “So, with the current trend of carbon-dioxide emissions and greenhouse gas concentration increasing, we can only say that the frequency, unfortunately will still be going on in the future

. These changes initially warmed the land over much of the Tropics and south and central Asia (see Fig. 5 top panel). The stronger warming over much of the Arctic and the initial reduction in the AMOC over the first 20 years suggests these are more complicated responses to that initial warming. It is also

of the larger-scale changes, in which there may be more confidence. • The changes in characteristics of the weather types shown by the global projections indicate that, on average, UK winter weather conditions are expected to become milder and for certain weather types, wetter. We focus here on the UK

to put it into context by casting our minds back to winter; a season traditionally regarded as a recharge period for the UK’s water supplies. UK rainfall over winter was down compared with average, with only 83% of average rainfall being recorded for the UK. This relative shortfall in a key period

the two seasons. In winter, the atmosphere is closer to saturation (with many more wet days). In summer, showers are triggered over the land by surface heating and use the local moisture sources more directly (whereas showers in winter may be more dependent on the advected moisture from the sea

season total rainfall and seasonal average temperature have significant correlations with crop yield. With improved seasonal forecasts, there is potential to provide information on timescales relevant to agriculture and food security decisions, provided information is communicated in appropriate