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that, on average, UK winter weather conditions are expected to become milder and for certain weather types, wetter. We focus here on the UK winter season when specific conditions are expected to have more significant impacts. • The UK experiences two dominant weather types: • Weather Type 1 (WT1): Cold

recharge, increase the likelihood that tolerance thresholds will be exceeded for certain crops and livestock, and combine with increases in rainfall variability and the length of dry periods to increase drought severity and irrigation demand. A projected delayed onset to the wet season may result

. These changes initially warmed the land over much of the Tropics and south and central Asia (see Fig. 5 top panel). The stronger warming over much of the Arctic and the initial reduction in the AMOC over the first 20 years suggests these are more complicated responses to that initial warming. It is also

about contingency measures. At the same time it will help them develop definite strategies for dealing with the more likely outcome of flooding seasons. Providing this type of probabilistic climate information requires a good understanding of the drivers of Asian monsoon and how they will change

0.5ᵒC everywhere (with an average difference of 0.1ᵒC on a temperature increase of 2.5ᵒC for the British Isles as a whole). Fixing the graupel code error also significantly 2 impacts simulated present-day precipitation in winter, with the fixed-code run somewhat wetter although still not as wet

, Northern Ireland and northern England. Following this the temperatures returned to around average for many and below average for northern areas. Scotland in particular saw cooler than average temperatures in the second half of the month. On the 22nd, the 12th named storm of the season arrived: Storm Lilian

Oceans the majority of names used are not personal names. While there are a few male and female names, most are names of flowers, animals, birds, trees, foods or descriptive adjectives. The names are also not allocated in alphabetical order, but are arranged by the name of the Asian country which

-season sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The detailed methodology is described in Part 2. For this forecast the GloSea5 component comprised an aggregation of 42 GloSea5 predictions (ensemble members) initialised between 23 January and 12 February which cover the period

of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation

: Autumn’s stormy spell and tropical influences Author: Press Office 1 October 2025 Are we in for a stormy spell on Friday night? How wet will it get before then? And could a tropical tango influence both of those things? This week’s Met Office deep dive explores a complex and dynamic weather pattern