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, the rainfall patterns over the next 3-6 months are expected to be strongly influenced by the ongoing mature La Niña event across the tropical Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely

Global: July to April Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) –Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) considers ENSO to be neutral with the conditions not yet being met for a La Niña event to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La

and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) state that La Niña is currently present. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, the La Niña event will come to an end over the coming months. For February–April, the likelihood of returning to ENSOneutral

conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020

Niña conditions across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months

, they are largely CORRECT This is because high pressure tends to lead to good weather. High pressure traps dust and dirt in the air, which scatters blue light, only leaving the red light remaining – hence the reddish appearance of the sky. It can be too cold to snow 62% believe this fact – but it’s

warm weather, with temperatures between 21-23°C, locally reaching up to 24°C. However, far northern and northwestern Scotland will experience cloudier conditions with light rain and drizzle likely later in the day. Showers may develop during the afternoon across central and northern Scotland

will experience near-normal conditions. Winds will strengthen across the far southwest, with strong and gusty easterly winds developing later in the day. The evening and overnight period will remain dry across most of the UK. However, light rain or drizzle is possible across the Shetland Islands

cover and a scattering of mainly light showers, with the chance of an odd moderate shower near southern coasts. Temperatures on Tuesday will be around normal for the time of year, with values a degree or so either side of average. Central and eastern England can expect highs in the low twenties

Scotland pulling away to the west. Some showers are also possible over Central and Eastern England with light winds for most with temperatures near or slightly above normal, so feeling nice in any sunshine. A showery picture is likely for much of the bank holiday weekend with Easter Sunday looking