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of Wind for DJF and JJA Fig 6. Projections of Precipitation for Winter (DJF) and Summer (JJA) of 2050s Results � • Validation: Fig 2 to Fig 4 T: DJF-model>obs; JJA-model<obs (Fig 2) P: DJF-model wetter; JJA-model drier (Fig 3) W: model predicted less strength of Westerlies than obs for both seasons (Fig

in the season, you’d expect 85%. There is of course, much regional variation, with central, southern and eastern parts of England and Wales so far especially dry, whilst north-western parts of the UK, especially Scotland, have been much wetter. Northern Scotland has already seen 98% of its seasonal

recharge, increase the likelihood that tolerance thresholds will be exceeded for certain crops and livestock, and combine with increases in rainfall variability and the length of dry periods to increase drought severity and irrigation demand. A projected delayed onset to the wet season may result

0.5ᵒC everywhere (with an average difference of 0.1ᵒC on a temperature increase of 2.5ᵒC for the British Isles as a whole). Fixing the graupel code error also significantly 2 impacts simulated present-day precipitation in winter, with the fixed-code run somewhat wetter although still not as wet

A change in the pollen season – but is it worse than normal? Author: Press Office 10 June 2022 The effects of hay fever are already increasingly being felt across the UK, with grass pollen now fully in focus following the spring release of many types of tree pollen. The pollen forecast is high or very high

With just days to go, how close are we to breaking spring records? Author: Press Office 30 May 2025 The weather has been a hot topic of conversation this spring, and for good reason. From record-breaking sunshine hours to long-stretches of high temperatures and very low rainfall, it’s been a season that’s

, Northern Ireland and northern England. Following this the temperatures returned to around average for many and below average for northern areas. Scotland in particular saw cooler than average temperatures in the second half of the month. On the 22nd, the 12th named storm of the season arrived: Storm Lilian

of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation

and southwest during the early hours, making for a potentially wet commute for those not still enjoying the summer holidays. Thursday and Friday continue the theme, with frequent showers, especially in the west, where it may feel like a wet day with shower after shower. Eastern areas may see fewer

Office deep dive: Autumn’s stormy spell and tropical influences Author: Press Office 1 October 2025 Are we in for a stormy spell on Friday night? How wet will it get before then? And could a tropical tango influence both of those things? This week’s Met Office deep dive explores a complex and dynamic