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back to 1884. In a month that was wet and dull for many, people certainly didn’t feel that May was a record breaking month. But what could cause such a disconnect between perception and statistical reality? New analysis In new analysis, Met Office scientists have looked at what caused such anomalously

1, is produced by combining output from the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical forecast system with statistical predictions based on pre-season sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The methodology is described in Part 2. The GloSea5 contribution to this forecast for FMAM

on from a largely wet June, northern England and the Midlands have now received more than the season’s usual rainfall, with August still to go. Tim Legg, of the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre, said: “With an all-time temperature record it would be easy to assume that this summer

You may have seen that Spring 2025 broke historical climate records, marking an unprecedented season of warmth and sunshine across the UK, according to provisional Met Office statistics.

-season cold snaps, especially during clear nights when radiative cooling can cause temperatures to dip sharply. Rainfall in the Midlands can vary significantly, and the wettest May on record brought 143.9mm of rain in 1932. While not as extreme as in western regions, this total still represents

: “The Easter period will bring a variety of Spring weather from sunshine and showers, to more prolonged cloudy and wet conditions, along with some snow in the north: chiefly over the hills. So, there will be opportunities to get outside and enjoy the weekend, and you can use the rainfall radar

distribution to air frost. However, those places into which cold air can drain are particularly prone to frost. Examples include Altnaharra (Highland) with an average of 73 air frosts per year. In Northern Scotland the frost-free season is o en as little as 3 months, as shown by the average

Powering up the forecasts East Africa has distinct wet and dry seasons, and accurately predicting the onset of its rains is vital for farms and businesses. Yet hydropower is equally reliant on accurate and timely forecasts – as an important climate partnership project recently demonstrated

Powering up the forecasts East Africa has distinct wet and dry seasons, and accurately predicting the onset of its rains is vital for farms and businesses. Yet hydropower is equally reliant on accurate and timely forecasts – as an important climate partnership project recently demonstrated

RAL3.3 S Amer Africa SE Asia “DYAMOND3” Takasuka et al (2024); Grey-scale = incomplete and not yet available Regional evaluation of resolution and physics dependencies Increasing model resolution 5/3 scaling Parametrised convection GPM Explicit convection Claudio Sanchez Results from earlier DYAMOND

to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60