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conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020

of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months. For January–March, the likelihood of returning to ENSO-neutral conditions

to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions ate present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early next year. 3

to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months

(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

, please contact the Customer Centre on: Tel: 0370 900 0100 Fax: 0370 900 5050 Email: [email protected] If you are outside the UK: Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 From Sorcery to Supercomputers A brief history of key developments in meteorology as illustrated by Treasures from

the north-east. The 7th was cloudy in the south with a little showery rain for some, but mostly sunny elsewhere. Scattered outbreaks of mostly light rain affected central and northeastern areas on the 8th, extending into the south-west in the a ernoon, dry elsewhere but mostly cloudy except

warm weather, with temperatures between 21-23°C, locally reaching up to 24°C. However, far northern and northwestern Scotland will experience cloudier conditions with light rain and drizzle likely later in the day. Showers may develop during the afternoon across central and northern Scotland

will experience near-normal conditions. Winds will strengthen across the far southwest, with strong and gusty easterly winds developing later in the day. The evening and overnight period will remain dry across most of the UK. However, light rain or drizzle is possible across the Shetland Islands

cover and a scattering of mainly light showers, with the chance of an odd moderate shower near southern coasts. Temperatures on Tuesday will be around normal for the time of year, with values a degree or so either side of average. Central and eastern England can expect highs in the low twenties