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• PowerPoint Presentation

  the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau

• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next

• PowerPoint Presentation

  % likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc

• How the Met Office helps millions of drivers stay safe on England's busiest roads

  Traffic Operations Centre (NTOC) near Birmingham, where Met Office embedded forecasters now provide specialist weather intelligence that directly influences how the country's motorways and major A-roads are managed.   Why weather matters on the road   National Highways manages 4,500 miles

• Record 24 hour Rainfall 18 July 1955

  the south coast. Scotland and Northern Ireland had a fine evening although low cloud and drizzle continued to plague the east coast from time to time. Temperatures were about average generally in a light east or north-easterly breeze across most areas. However, winds across the far northwest of Scotland

• Met Office daily weather: Sunshine and scattered showers

  bursts and a low risk of thunder. Conditions improve through the afternoon as the main area of rain clears southward, allowing for sunny spells to emerge. Further north, the day begins with plenty of sunshine and light winds following a chilly start. However, cloud and patchy light rain are expected

• Harrow Wealdstone Train Crash 8 October 1952

  from a few showers across North East Scotland it was generally dry across the United Kingdom with sunny spells, more particularly across southern areas. Winds were light across southern parts but a light to moderate, later fresh, west or south-westerly wind affected northern areas. Temperatures were

• Bruton Rainfall 28 June 1917

  flooding. For much of southern England and South Wales it was a miserable day with overcast skies and heavy and persistent rain. Winds were light across Scotland and Northern Ireland and from the west across the far north but generally variable elsewhere. Winds across southern England and Wales were