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being the warmest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology

the north-east. The 7th was cloudy in the south with a little showery rain for some, but mostly sunny elsewhere. Scattered outbreaks of mostly light rain affected central and northeastern areas on the 8th, extending into the south-west in the a ernoon, dry elsewhere but mostly cloudy except

(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020

Global: July to April Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) –Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) considers ENSO to be neutral with the conditions not yet being met for a La Niña event to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La

to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months

, the rainfall patterns over the next 3-6 months are expected to be strongly influenced by the ongoing mature La Niña event across the tropical Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely

to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions ate present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early next year. 3

morning through mid-afternoon. Cloud will gradually thicken from the west, with outbreaks of mainly light rain arriving across Northern Ireland by early afternoon. This rain will extend into other western areas, including western Scotland and parts of Wales, by the end of the day. Temperatures

Friday will start with isolated fog patches that will soon clear, leading to sunny spells for many areas. It will feel fairly warm in light winds, especially away from North Sea coasts. However, outbreaks of rain, some locally heavy, will affect Northern Ireland and parts of the far western UK