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of the event for the best chance of optimal weather conditions? ‘How many people will attend if it rains or if it's wetter, hotter or colder than usual for the season? ‘What type of stage or ground surface will I need to guarantee the safety of participants, athletes and performers?’ Risk assessment to avoid

on the atmosphere which, in turn can influence the weather here in the UK. Early in the winter La Niña can bring colder-than-average conditions, while later in winter it encourage warmer and wetter-than-average conditions. At the moment La Niña is in a weak phase and is likely to stay this way all winter

, making life very difficult especially to farmers. Longer droughts have manifested into unique crop and animal pests and diseases leading to low Agricultural production and food insecurity. Over the years, the cattle keepers are forced to migrate to safer wet land catchment areas or sell

% wetter than the 1961–1990 baseline. Extreme rainfall events are becoming more common, contributing to record-breaking wet seasons like the winter of 2023–2024, which brought severe flooding to major river catchments. Sea levels around the UK have risen nearly 20 cm since 1900, with the pace accelerating

, and Sutcliffe 1996). Together the RSCZ and the ITCZ produce a bimodal seasonal distribution of precipitation with one peak between March and May and the other between July and September. In this report, a single wet season between April and November is considered. Outside of the two wet periods

. There was heavy snow across parts of Highland Scotland and a mini-tornado in Greater Manchester. This storm contributed to the generally prolonged, very wet and unsettled spell of weather lasting through much of December. Weather impacts Storm Gerrit caused severe travel disruption to the rail

. Daily maximum temperature maps - calendar view 9. Daily minimum temperature maps - calendar view 10. Daily rainfall maps - calendar view 11. Monthly atmospheric circulation 12. Weather diary 13. Notes UK overview October began warmer than average but wet, with heavy rain across northern Wales, Scotland

the two seasons. In winter, the atmosphere is closer to saturation (with many more wet days). In summer, showers are triggered over the land by surface heating and use the local moisture sources more directly (whereas showers in winter may be more dependent on the advected moisture from the sea

to increase by 1.4 to 5.8°C during the 21 st century (Kwon et al., 2005; Sheperd and Jin, 2004). Lioubimtseva and � Corresponding author. Tel.: +98 915 3049764, Fax: +98 51 33822311. E-mail address: [email protected] Henebry (2009) showed that aridity would increase across the entire central Asian

Translating forecasts into farming In East Africa, the rainy season dictates when farmers can sow, cultivate and harvest their crops. By making sure that farmers have access to accurate forecasts – and can understand them – WISER is helping to make farming more successful and more efficient across